Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Alan Rick (Republicanos) leading first-round vote intentions at 33-41%, ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24-26% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15-18%, with high undecided shares around 17% and 40% of voters open to switching. Mailza Assis assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli’s resignation and maintains approval ratings above 60%, providing an incumbency base that supports her second-place market position. Official candidacies were confirmed in July-August conventions, and early September campaign events have centered on health services and local demands. These factors, combined with the October 4 first-round date and runoff scenarios, sustain tight implied probabilities by leaving room for shifts among undecided voters or late campaign developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAlan Rick 57%
Mailza Assis 43%
Tião Bocalom <1%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
$37,177 Обс.
$37,177 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
57%
Mailza Assis
43%
Tião Bocalom
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
<1%
Eudo Raffael
<1%
Thor Dantas
<1%
Alan Rick 57%
Mailza Assis 43%
Tião Bocalom <1%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
$37,177 Обс.
$37,177 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
$19,834 Обс.
57%
Mailza Assis
$15,102 Обс.
43%
Tião Bocalom
$402 Обс.
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
$602 Обс.
<1%
Eudo Raffael
$767 Обс.
<1%
Thor Dantas
$470 Обс.
<1%
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Alan Rick (Republicanos) leading first-round vote intentions at 33-41%, ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24-26% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15-18%, with high undecided shares around 17% and 40% of voters open to switching. Mailza Assis assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli’s resignation and maintains approval ratings above 60%, providing an incumbency base that supports her second-place market position. Official candidacies were confirmed in July-August conventions, and early September campaign events have centered on health services and local demands. These factors, combined with the October 4 first-round date and runoff scenarios, sustain tight implied probabilities by leaving room for shifts among undecided voters or late campaign developments.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,177Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Alan Rick (Republicanos) leading first-round vote intentions at 33-41%, ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24-26% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15-18%, with high undecided shares around 17% and 40% of voters open to switching. Mailza Assis assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli’s resignation and maintains approval ratings above 60%, providing an incumbency base that supports her second-place market position. Official candidacies were confirmed in July-August conventions, and early September campaign events have centered on health services and local demands. These factors, combined with the October 4 first-round date and runoff scenarios, sustain tight implied probabilities by leaving room for shifts among undecided voters or late campaign developments.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$37,177Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Alan Rick (Republicanos) leading first-round vote intentions at 33-41%, ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24-26% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15-18%, with high undecided shares around 17% and 40% of voters open to switching. Mailza Assis assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli’s resignation and maintains approval ratings above 60%, providing an incumbency base that supports her second-place market position. Official candidacies were confirmed in July-August conventions, and early September campaign events have centered on health services and local demands. These factors, combined with the October 4 first-round date and runoff scenarios, sustain tight implied probabilities by leaving room for shifts among undecided voters or late campaign developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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