The closely contested Texas Senate race between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, with recent polls showing margins under five points, drives the tight clustering of turnout probabilities across multiple vote ranges. Both campaigns are intensifying get-out-the-vote efforts targeting Hispanic voters, suburban independents, and younger demographics ahead of the November 3 contest, building on elevated Democratic primary participation that exceeded recent cycles. Historical midterm patterns and open-seat dynamics add uncertainty over base versus crossover voting. Late polling shifts, ad effectiveness, or Election Day conditions could widen gaps among the leading ranges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update<8M 39%
8.8M-9.2M 36%
9.2M-9.6M 36%
8M-8.4M 34%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
<8M
39%
8M-8.4M
34%
8.4M-8.8M
12%
8.8M-9.2M
36%
9.2M-9.6M
36%
9.6M-10M
22%
10M-10.4M
25%
10.4M-10.8M
27%
10.8M-11.2M
34%
11.2M+
32%
<8M 39%
8.8M-9.2M 36%
9.2M-9.6M 36%
8M-8.4M 34%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
<8M
$42 Vol.
39%
8M-8.4M
$42 Vol.
34%
8.4M-8.8M
$42 Vol.
12%
8.8M-9.2M
$42 Vol.
36%
9.2M-9.6M
$42 Vol.
36%
9.6M-10M
$42 Vol.
22%
10M-10.4M
$42 Vol.
25%
10.4M-10.8M
$42 Vol.
27%
10.8M-11.2M
$42 Vol.
34%
11.2M+
$42 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Texas Senate race between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, with recent polls showing margins under five points, drives the tight clustering of turnout probabilities across multiple vote ranges. Both campaigns are intensifying get-out-the-vote efforts targeting Hispanic voters, suburban independents, and younger demographics ahead of the November 3 contest, building on elevated Democratic primary participation that exceeded recent cycles. Historical midterm patterns and open-seat dynamics add uncertainty over base versus crossover voting. Late polling shifts, ad effectiveness, or Election Day conditions could widen gaps among the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$416Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Texas Senate race between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, with recent polls showing margins under five points, drives the tight clustering of turnout probabilities across multiple vote ranges. Both campaigns are intensifying get-out-the-vote efforts targeting Hispanic voters, suburban independents, and younger demographics ahead of the November 3 contest, building on elevated Democratic primary participation that exceeded recent cycles. Historical midterm patterns and open-seat dynamics add uncertainty over base versus crossover voting. Late polling shifts, ad effectiveness, or Election Day conditions could widen gaps among the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$416Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Texas Senate race between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, with recent polls showing margins under five points, drives the tight clustering of turnout probabilities across multiple vote ranges. Both campaigns are intensifying get-out-the-vote efforts targeting Hispanic voters, suburban independents, and younger demographics ahead of the November 3 contest, building on elevated Democratic primary participation that exceeded recent cycles. Historical midterm patterns and open-seat dynamics add uncertainty over base versus crossover voting. Late polling shifts, ad effectiveness, or Election Day conditions could widen gaps among the leading ranges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKaugnay
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