Kentucky’s open U.S. Senate race features Republican Andy Barr holding a roughly 10-point polling edge over Democrat Charles Booker in a state that last saw Democratic Senate success in 1992. This dynamic limits Democratic mobilization while Republican primary consolidation behind Barr supports steady GOP participation. Midterm turnout historically runs well below presidential levels, and the absence of a high-profile presidential contest this cycle further tempers overall participation. Recent campaign activity, including Barr’s agreement to a single October 19 debate and ongoing fundraising, has yet to produce clear separation in expected vote totals. Traders therefore assign the highest probabilities to the 1.6–1.7 million and 1.7–1.8 million ranges, reflecting uncertainty over final mobilization and election-day factors.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update1.6M-1.7M 39%
1.5M-1.6M 23%
1.4M-1.5M 20%
1.3M-1.4M 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
<1.2M
<1%
1.2M-1.3M
7%
1.3M-1.4M
8%
1.4M-1.5M
20%
1.5M-1.6M
23%
1.6M-1.7M
39%
1.7M-1.8M
14%
1.8M+
7%
1.6M-1.7M 39%
1.5M-1.6M 23%
1.4M-1.5M 20%
1.3M-1.4M 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
<1.2M
$1,496 Vol.
<1%
1.2M-1.3M
$45 Vol.
7%
1.3M-1.4M
$506 Vol.
8%
1.4M-1.5M
$28 Vol.
20%
1.5M-1.6M
$45 Vol.
23%
1.6M-1.7M
$367 Vol.
39%
1.7M-1.8M
$166 Vol.
14%
1.8M+
$183 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kentucky’s open U.S. Senate race features Republican Andy Barr holding a roughly 10-point polling edge over Democrat Charles Booker in a state that last saw Democratic Senate success in 1992. This dynamic limits Democratic mobilization while Republican primary consolidation behind Barr supports steady GOP participation. Midterm turnout historically runs well below presidential levels, and the absence of a high-profile presidential contest this cycle further tempers overall participation. Recent campaign activity, including Barr’s agreement to a single October 19 debate and ongoing fundraising, has yet to produce clear separation in expected vote totals. Traders therefore assign the highest probabilities to the 1.6–1.7 million and 1.7–1.8 million ranges, reflecting uncertainty over final mobilization and election-day factors.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Volume
$2,837Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kentucky’s open U.S. Senate race features Republican Andy Barr holding a roughly 10-point polling edge over Democrat Charles Booker in a state that last saw Democratic Senate success in 1992. This dynamic limits Democratic mobilization while Republican primary consolidation behind Barr supports steady GOP participation. Midterm turnout historically runs well below presidential levels, and the absence of a high-profile presidential contest this cycle further tempers overall participation. Recent campaign activity, including Barr’s agreement to a single October 19 debate and ongoing fundraising, has yet to produce clear separation in expected vote totals. Traders therefore assign the highest probabilities to the 1.6–1.7 million and 1.7–1.8 million ranges, reflecting uncertainty over final mobilization and election-day factors.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,837Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kentucky’s open U.S. Senate race features Republican Andy Barr holding a roughly 10-point polling edge over Democrat Charles Booker in a state that last saw Democratic Senate success in 1992. This dynamic limits Democratic mobilization while Republican primary consolidation behind Barr supports steady GOP participation. Midterm turnout historically runs well below presidential levels, and the absence of a high-profile presidential contest this cycle further tempers overall participation. Recent campaign activity, including Barr’s agreement to a single October 19 debate and ongoing fundraising, has yet to produce clear separation in expected vote totals. Traders therefore assign the highest probabilities to the 1.6–1.7 million and 1.7–1.8 million ranges, reflecting uncertainty over final mobilization and election-day factors.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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