The tight contest for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election reflects the clustered polling among the leading contenders. A late-August Quaest survey showed Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16% in combined first- and second-choice voting, all within the margin of error, while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trailed at 11% and spontaneous recognition left 67% undecided. With voters casting two ballots for the two available seats and a fragmented field of 13 candidates, modest shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecided voters, or last-minute alliances can readily reorder the second-place finish. Trader pricing mirrors this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second among the top trio.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNicoletti 46.8%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helena da Asatur 19.4%
Chico Rodrigues 3.3%
$62,624 Vol.
$62,624 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
47%
Teresa Surita
26%
Helena da Asatur
19%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
3%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 46.8%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helena da Asatur 19.4%
Chico Rodrigues 3.3%
$62,624 Vol.
$62,624 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
$11,204 Vol.
47%
Teresa Surita
$18,485 Vol.
26%
Helena da Asatur
$4,672 Vol.
19%
Chico Rodrigues
$13,612 Vol.
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,065 Vol.
3%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$810 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election reflects the clustered polling among the leading contenders. A late-August Quaest survey showed Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16% in combined first- and second-choice voting, all within the margin of error, while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trailed at 11% and spontaneous recognition left 67% undecided. With voters casting two ballots for the two available seats and a fragmented field of 13 candidates, modest shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecided voters, or last-minute alliances can readily reorder the second-place finish. Trader pricing mirrors this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second among the top trio.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$62,624Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election reflects the clustered polling among the leading contenders. A late-August Quaest survey showed Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16% in combined first- and second-choice voting, all within the margin of error, while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trailed at 11% and spontaneous recognition left 67% undecided. With voters casting two ballots for the two available seats and a fragmented field of 13 candidates, modest shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecided voters, or last-minute alliances can readily reorder the second-place finish. Trader pricing mirrors this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second among the top trio.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62,624Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election reflects the clustered polling among the leading contenders. A late-August Quaest survey showed Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16% in combined first- and second-choice voting, all within the margin of error, while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trailed at 11% and spontaneous recognition left 67% undecided. With voters casting two ballots for the two available seats and a fragmented field of 13 candidates, modest shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecided voters, or last-minute alliances can readily reorder the second-place finish. Trader pricing mirrors this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second among the top trio.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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