Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight multi-candidate contest for the second Senate seat in Paraná, with Alexandre Curi, Filipe Barros, Deltan Dallagnol, and Gleisi Hoffmann frequently within the margin of error in first- and second-vote scenarios. Fragmentation among right-leaning candidates has kept the race close, while high undecided shares and the two-seat electoral structure sustain uncertainty over final placement. Trader consensus on Curi leading probabilities for second place aligns with his stronger showings in late-August and early-September surveys, though shifts in turnout, endorsements, or legal rulings on eligibility could still reorder the field ahead of the October vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAlexandre Curi 35%
Filipe Barros 23%
Deltan Dallagnol 19%
Gleisi 10.4%
$32,117 Vol.
$32,117 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Curi
35%
Filipe Barros
23%
Deltan Dallagnol
19%
Gleisi
10%
Cristina Reis Graeml
4%
Marcelo Marcelino
<1%
Dr. Rosinha
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
<1%
Alexandre Curi 35%
Filipe Barros 23%
Deltan Dallagnol 19%
Gleisi 10.4%
$32,117 Vol.
$32,117 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Curi
$4,971 Vol.
35%
Filipe Barros
$10,942 Vol.
23%
Deltan Dallagnol
$7,329 Vol.
19%
Gleisi
$4,901 Vol.
10%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$1,523 Vol.
4%
Marcelo Marcelino
$605 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Rosinha
$574 Vol.
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
$712 Vol.
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
$560 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight multi-candidate contest for the second Senate seat in Paraná, with Alexandre Curi, Filipe Barros, Deltan Dallagnol, and Gleisi Hoffmann frequently within the margin of error in first- and second-vote scenarios. Fragmentation among right-leaning candidates has kept the race close, while high undecided shares and the two-seat electoral structure sustain uncertainty over final placement. Trader consensus on Curi leading probabilities for second place aligns with his stronger showings in late-August and early-September surveys, though shifts in turnout, endorsements, or legal rulings on eligibility could still reorder the field ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volume
$32,117Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight multi-candidate contest for the second Senate seat in Paraná, with Alexandre Curi, Filipe Barros, Deltan Dallagnol, and Gleisi Hoffmann frequently within the margin of error in first- and second-vote scenarios. Fragmentation among right-leaning candidates has kept the race close, while high undecided shares and the two-seat electoral structure sustain uncertainty over final placement. Trader consensus on Curi leading probabilities for second place aligns with his stronger showings in late-August and early-September surveys, though shifts in turnout, endorsements, or legal rulings on eligibility could still reorder the field ahead of the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$32,117Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Paraná Pesquisas shows a tight multi-candidate contest for the second Senate seat in Paraná, with Alexandre Curi, Filipe Barros, Deltan Dallagnol, and Gleisi Hoffmann frequently within the margin of error in first- and second-vote scenarios. Fragmentation among right-leaning candidates has kept the race close, while high undecided shares and the two-seat electoral structure sustain uncertainty over final placement. Trader consensus on Curi leading probabilities for second place aligns with his stronger showings in late-August and early-September surveys, though shifts in turnout, endorsements, or legal rulings on eligibility could still reorder the field ahead of the October vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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