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icon for Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politika·Brazil

Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politika·Brazil

Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place

Marcelo Crivella 56.0%

Benedita da Silva 16%

Carlos Jordy 14%

Pedro Paulo 11.8%

Polymarket

$53,384 Vol.

Marcelo Crivella 56.0%

Benedita da Silva 16%

Carlos Jordy 14%

Pedro Paulo 11.8%

Polymarket

$53,384 Vol.

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$7,811 Vol.

56%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$9,522 Vol.

16%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$11,143 Vol.

14%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$7,807 Vol.

12%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$5,369 Vol.

4%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$2,052 Vol.

1%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$1,319 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$896 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$1,292 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$2,185 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$1,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$608 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$533 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) has edged ahead of rivals including Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL) for the second position. Quaest data released September 8 placed Crivella at 8% in combined voting intentions compared to 6% for the next group, reflecting modest momentum amid high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40% in some surveys. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Crivella for second place, though the contest remains fluid given overlapping support bases, coalition dynamics, and limited name recognition for many listed contenders. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys could shift relative standings before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$53,384
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) has edged ahead of rivals including Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL) for the second position. Quaest data released September 8 placed Crivella at 8% in combined voting intentions compared to 6% for the next group, reflecting modest momentum amid high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40% in some surveys. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Crivella for second place, though the contest remains fluid given overlapping support bases, coalition dynamics, and limited name recognition for many listed contenders. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys could shift relative standings before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$53,384
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

icon for Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?

Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?

66%
icon for Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

31%
icon for Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

49%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 16 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Marcelo Crivella" sa 56%, sinusundan ng "Benedita da Silva" sa 17%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 56¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 56% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay naka-generate ng $53.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 17, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place," i-browse ang 16 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay "Marcelo Crivella" sa 56%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 56% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Benedita da Silva" sa 17%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.