Recent polling shows a tight US Senate contest in Minnesota between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest lead among likely voters following August primaries. This competitiveness, combined with historical midterm turnout patterns around 60 percent in the state, sustains trader uncertainty across the provided vote-total buckets. Democratic enthusiasm edges appear stronger in surveys, supporting higher-turnout scenarios, while base mobilization gaps, early voting trends, and typical off-year participation rates keep lower ranges in play. Nationalized dynamics and get-out-the-vote efforts through November could still shift totals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update3.05M+ 45%
2.9M-3.05M 43%
2.75M-2.9M 38%
2.45M-2.6M 36%
<2M
26%
2M-2.15M
24%
2.15M-2.3M
35%
2.3M-2.45M
27%
2.45M-2.6M
36%
2.6M-2.75M
34%
2.75M-2.9M
38%
2.9M-3.05M
43%
3.05M+
45%
3.05M+ 45%
2.9M-3.05M 43%
2.75M-2.9M 38%
2.45M-2.6M 36%
<2M
26%
2M-2.15M
24%
2.15M-2.3M
35%
2.3M-2.45M
27%
2.45M-2.6M
36%
2.6M-2.75M
34%
2.75M-2.9M
38%
2.9M-3.05M
43%
3.05M+
45%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a tight US Senate contest in Minnesota between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest lead among likely voters following August primaries. This competitiveness, combined with historical midterm turnout patterns around 60 percent in the state, sustains trader uncertainty across the provided vote-total buckets. Democratic enthusiasm edges appear stronger in surveys, supporting higher-turnout scenarios, while base mobilization gaps, early voting trends, and typical off-year participation rates keep lower ranges in play. Nationalized dynamics and get-out-the-vote efforts through November could still shift totals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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