Eduardo Braide (PSD), the former mayor of São Luís, holds a clear lead in most recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote, with Orleans Brandão (MDB) trailing as the main challenger and nephew of the incumbent governor. Surveys from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and IPPI in August and September consistently place Braide in the mid-40s percent range on stimulated ballots, well ahead of Brandão’s 25-32 percent and Felipe Camarão (PT) in single digits, though one late IPSensus poll showed Brandão ahead. Traders price Braide at 75.5 percent to win outright or in a potential runoff on October 25, reflecting his stronger name recognition, broader geographic support, and consistent frontrunner status in the majority of registered surveys. Campaign activity remains focused on infrastructure and mobility proposals, with no decisive late shifts reported.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateEduardo Braide 76%
Orleans Brandão 26%
Felipe Camarão <1%
André Luís <1%
$78,421 Vol.
$78,421 Vol.

Eduardo Braide
76%

Orleans Brandão
26%

Felipe Camarão
1%

André Luís
<1%

Lahesio Bonfim
<1%

Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Eduardo Braide 76%
Orleans Brandão 26%
Felipe Camarão <1%
André Luís <1%
$78,421 Vol.
$78,421 Vol.

Eduardo Braide
76%

Orleans Brandão
26%

Felipe Camarão
1%

André Luís
<1%

Lahesio Bonfim
<1%

Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braide (PSD), the former mayor of São Luís, holds a clear lead in most recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote, with Orleans Brandão (MDB) trailing as the main challenger and nephew of the incumbent governor. Surveys from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and IPPI in August and September consistently place Braide in the mid-40s percent range on stimulated ballots, well ahead of Brandão’s 25-32 percent and Felipe Camarão (PT) in single digits, though one late IPSensus poll showed Brandão ahead. Traders price Braide at 75.5 percent to win outright or in a potential runoff on October 25, reflecting his stronger name recognition, broader geographic support, and consistent frontrunner status in the majority of registered surveys. Campaign activity remains focused on infrastructure and mobility proposals, with no decisive late shifts reported.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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