The tight contest for Bahia governor centers on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) seeking re-election against main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with minor candidates registering negligible support. Recent polls through early September show the pair in technical ties or narrow margins in both first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting a competitive electorate where roughly 44% of voters remain open to shifting preferences. Trader consensus favoring Jerônimo at this stage aligns with historical patterns of PT strength in the state and incumbency advantages on issues such as public security and economic management. ACM Neto has emphasized organized crime reduction in recent campaign stops, while both candidates focus on coalition building ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. The race remains sensitive to late developments in turnout and regional voting blocs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateJerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 38%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$152,809 Vol.
$152,809 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
61%
ACM Neto
38%
João Roma
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 38%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$152,809 Vol.
$152,809 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$49,800 Vol.
61%
ACM Neto
$60,885 Vol.
38%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 Vol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for Bahia governor centers on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) seeking re-election against main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with minor candidates registering negligible support. Recent polls through early September show the pair in technical ties or narrow margins in both first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting a competitive electorate where roughly 44% of voters remain open to shifting preferences. Trader consensus favoring Jerônimo at this stage aligns with historical patterns of PT strength in the state and incumbency advantages on issues such as public security and economic management. ACM Neto has emphasized organized crime reduction in recent campaign stops, while both candidates focus on coalition building ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. The race remains sensitive to late developments in turnout and regional voting blocs.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$152,809Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for Bahia governor centers on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) seeking re-election against main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with minor candidates registering negligible support. Recent polls through early September show the pair in technical ties or narrow margins in both first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting a competitive electorate where roughly 44% of voters remain open to shifting preferences. Trader consensus favoring Jerônimo at this stage aligns with historical patterns of PT strength in the state and incumbency advantages on issues such as public security and economic management. ACM Neto has emphasized organized crime reduction in recent campaign stops, while both candidates focus on coalition building ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. The race remains sensitive to late developments in turnout and regional voting blocs.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$152,809Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest for Bahia governor centers on incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) seeking re-election against main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with minor candidates registering negligible support. Recent polls through early September show the pair in technical ties or narrow margins in both first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting a competitive electorate where roughly 44% of voters remain open to shifting preferences. Trader consensus favoring Jerônimo at this stage aligns with historical patterns of PT strength in the state and incumbency advantages on issues such as public security and economic management. ACM Neto has emphasized organized crime reduction in recent campaign stops, while both candidates focus on coalition building ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. The race remains sensitive to late developments in turnout and regional voting blocs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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