Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate a likely overnight low in Chicago on September 22 in the mid-to-upper 50s Fahrenheit, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 54–59°F. Key variables include a passing cold front, variable cloud cover that could limit radiational cooling, and light winds that reduce mixing, all of which introduce modest uncertainty in the exact minimum. Historical September climatology for the city shows average lows near 57°F, placing the current setup close to normal with limited extreme outliers expected. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and any potential revisions from the 00Z or 12Z cycles most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at Chicago Midway or O’Hare.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Chicago on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 22?
56-57°F 28%
54-55°F 22%
58-59°F 19%
52-53°F 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 22, 2026
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
13%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
28%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
1%
56-57°F 28%
54-55°F 22%
58-59°F 19%
52-53°F 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 22, 2026
47°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
13%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
10%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
17%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
22%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
28%
58-59°F
$14 Vol.
28%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
10%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
13%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
1%
66°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate a likely overnight low in Chicago on September 22 in the mid-to-upper 50s Fahrenheit, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 54–59°F. Key variables include a passing cold front, variable cloud cover that could limit radiational cooling, and light winds that reduce mixing, all of which introduce modest uncertainty in the exact minimum. Historical September climatology for the city shows average lows near 57°F, placing the current setup close to normal with limited extreme outliers expected. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and any potential revisions from the 00Z or 12Z cycles most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at Chicago Midway or O’Hare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$14Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate a likely overnight low in Chicago on September 22 in the mid-to-upper 50s Fahrenheit, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 54–59°F. Key variables include a passing cold front, variable cloud cover that could limit radiational cooling, and light winds that reduce mixing, all of which introduce modest uncertainty in the exact minimum. Historical September climatology for the city shows average lows near 57°F, placing the current setup close to normal with limited extreme outliers expected. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and any potential revisions from the 00Z or 12Z cycles most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at Chicago Midway or O’Hare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate a likely overnight low in Chicago on September 22 in the mid-to-upper 50s Fahrenheit, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 54–59°F. Key variables include a passing cold front, variable cloud cover that could limit radiational cooling, and light winds that reduce mixing, all of which introduce modest uncertainty in the exact minimum. Historical September climatology for the city shows average lows near 57°F, placing the current setup close to normal with limited extreme outliers expected. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and any potential revisions from the 00Z or 12Z cycles most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at Chicago Midway or O’Hare.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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