Trader consensus on the 31°C outcome reflects authoritative forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models, which project a clear-sky high near that threshold on September 21 amid typical late-summer conditions with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Observational data through midday confirm temperatures climbing steadily toward 30–31°C at urban stations, consistent with climatological norms for the date and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal variability. Market-implied odds near 100% for exactly 31°C capture this tight alignment between forecast guidance and expected official maximum readings, while the low probabilities on adjacent bins acknowledge minor uncertainty from station-specific microclimates or final verification timing. A rapid afternoon cooling front or measurement revision below 30.5°C remains the primary scenario that could shift resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on September 21?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 21?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$92,189 Vol.
$92,189 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$92,189 Vol.
$92,189 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
$426 Vol.
No
25°C
$434 Vol.
No
26°C
$941 Vol.
No
27°C
$14,739 Vol.
No
28°C
$18,635 Vol.
No
29°C
$16,258 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,405 Vol.
No
31°C
$15,067 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$6,472 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,606 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$1,207 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 31°C outcome reflects authoritative forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models, which project a clear-sky high near that threshold on September 21 amid typical late-summer conditions with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Observational data through midday confirm temperatures climbing steadily toward 30–31°C at urban stations, consistent with climatological norms for the date and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal variability. Market-implied odds near 100% for exactly 31°C capture this tight alignment between forecast guidance and expected official maximum readings, while the low probabilities on adjacent bins acknowledge minor uncertainty from station-specific microclimates or final verification timing. A rapid afternoon cooling front or measurement revision below 30.5°C remains the primary scenario that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$92,189Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 31°C outcome reflects authoritative forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models, which project a clear-sky high near that threshold on September 21 amid typical late-summer conditions with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Observational data through midday confirm temperatures climbing steadily toward 30–31°C at urban stations, consistent with climatological norms for the date and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal variability. Market-implied odds near 100% for exactly 31°C capture this tight alignment between forecast guidance and expected official maximum readings, while the low probabilities on adjacent bins acknowledge minor uncertainty from station-specific microclimates or final verification timing. A rapid afternoon cooling front or measurement revision below 30.5°C remains the primary scenario that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$92,189Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus on the 31°C outcome reflects authoritative forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models, which project a clear-sky high near that threshold on September 21 amid typical late-summer conditions with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Observational data through midday confirm temperatures climbing steadily toward 30–31°C at urban stations, consistent with climatological norms for the date and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal variability. Market-implied odds near 100% for exactly 31°C capture this tight alignment between forecast guidance and expected official maximum readings, while the low probabilities on adjacent bins acknowledge minor uncertainty from station-specific microclimates or final verification timing. A rapid afternoon cooling front or measurement revision below 30.5°C remains the primary scenario that could shift resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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