Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Chengdu’s highest temperature on September 21, reflecting aggregated real-capital assessments of official measurements. Recent surface observations from regional stations under the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime peak of 29°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical for late-September subtropical conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines for the Sichuan Basin, where September maxima often reach the upper 20s Celsius before autumn cooling strengthens. Key variables that could still shift the outcome include post-event data revisions from additional monitoring sites or adjustments in quality-controlled archives, though historical precedent shows such changes are infrequent once initial readings stabilize. Final agency summaries expected in coming days will determine market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 21?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 21?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,740 Vol.
$49,740 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,740 Vol.
$49,740 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
$1,300 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,254 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,999 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,251 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7,355 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,351 Vol.
100%
30°C
$8,294 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,092 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$671 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$573 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$600 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Chengdu’s highest temperature on September 21, reflecting aggregated real-capital assessments of official measurements. Recent surface observations from regional stations under the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime peak of 29°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical for late-September subtropical conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines for the Sichuan Basin, where September maxima often reach the upper 20s Celsius before autumn cooling strengthens. Key variables that could still shift the outcome include post-event data revisions from additional monitoring sites or adjustments in quality-controlled archives, though historical precedent shows such changes are infrequent once initial readings stabilize. Final agency summaries expected in coming days will determine market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$49,740Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Chengdu’s highest temperature on September 21, reflecting aggregated real-capital assessments of official measurements. Recent surface observations from regional stations under the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime peak of 29°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical for late-September subtropical conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines for the Sichuan Basin, where September maxima often reach the upper 20s Celsius before autumn cooling strengthens. Key variables that could still shift the outcome include post-event data revisions from additional monitoring sites or adjustments in quality-controlled archives, though historical precedent shows such changes are infrequent once initial readings stabilize. Final agency summaries expected in coming days will determine market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,740Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Chengdu’s highest temperature on September 21, reflecting aggregated real-capital assessments of official measurements. Recent surface observations from regional stations under the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime peak of 29°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical for late-September subtropical conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines for the Sichuan Basin, where September maxima often reach the upper 20s Celsius before autumn cooling strengthens. Key variables that could still shift the outcome include post-event data revisions from additional monitoring sites or adjustments in quality-controlled archives, though historical precedent shows such changes are infrequent once initial readings stabilize. Final agency summaries expected in coming days will determine market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong