Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, backed by recent polling showing him near 60-62% of intended votes compared with Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) in the mid-to-high 20s and the remaining candidates below 2%. His position stems from strong name recognition as former Boa Vista mayor, consistent first-place results in the June 2026 special election, and broad party alliances. The special-election outcome remains pending final judicial review over desincompatibilization timing, yet Henrique’s October candidacy has advanced. Traders assign low odds to alternatives because polling margins have held steady in recent surveys, though a late court ruling on eligibility or unexpected opposition consolidation ahead of the first-round vote on October 4 could still alter the trajectory.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateArthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.6%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Rosi Aires 1.0%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
94%
Soldado Sampaio
4%
Farah Mesquita
2%
Rosi Aires
1%
Clébio Genuíno
<1%
Arthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.6%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Rosi Aires 1.0%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
$4,794 Vol.
94%
Soldado Sampaio
$183 Vol.
4%
Farah Mesquita
$153 Vol.
2%
Rosi Aires
$227 Vol.
1%
Clébio Genuíno
$318 Vol.
<1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, backed by recent polling showing him near 60-62% of intended votes compared with Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) in the mid-to-high 20s and the remaining candidates below 2%. His position stems from strong name recognition as former Boa Vista mayor, consistent first-place results in the June 2026 special election, and broad party alliances. The special-election outcome remains pending final judicial review over desincompatibilization timing, yet Henrique’s October candidacy has advanced. Traders assign low odds to alternatives because polling margins have held steady in recent surveys, though a late court ruling on eligibility or unexpected opposition consolidation ahead of the first-round vote on October 4 could still alter the trajectory.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volume
$5,676Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, backed by recent polling showing him near 60-62% of intended votes compared with Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) in the mid-to-high 20s and the remaining candidates below 2%. His position stems from strong name recognition as former Boa Vista mayor, consistent first-place results in the June 2026 special election, and broad party alliances. The special-election outcome remains pending final judicial review over desincompatibilization timing, yet Henrique’s October candidacy has advanced. Traders assign low odds to alternatives because polling margins have held steady in recent surveys, though a late court ruling on eligibility or unexpected opposition consolidation ahead of the first-round vote on October 4 could still alter the trajectory.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$5,676Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, backed by recent polling showing him near 60-62% of intended votes compared with Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) in the mid-to-high 20s and the remaining candidates below 2%. His position stems from strong name recognition as former Boa Vista mayor, consistent first-place results in the June 2026 special election, and broad party alliances. The special-election outcome remains pending final judicial review over desincompatibilization timing, yet Henrique’s October candidacy has advanced. Traders assign low odds to alternatives because polling margins have held steady in recent surveys, though a late court ruling on eligibility or unexpected opposition consolidation ahead of the first-round vote on October 4 could still alter the trajectory.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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