US-Iran hostilities have involved repeated US and Israeli strikes on Iranian military, nuclear-related, and maritime targets since early 2026, alongside Iranian responses targeting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, without any formal congressional declaration of war. A June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding sought to de-escalate through sanctions relief, reconstruction funding, and nuclear talks, but hard-liner actions in Iran triggered renewed tit-for-tat attacks and violations, sustaining trader focus on escalation risks. Congressional debates over War Powers Resolutions highlight the constitutional barrier to formal declaration, which requires explicit legislative approval rather than executive action or AUMF-style authorizations. Midterm election timelines and ongoing diplomatic channels with mediators like Oman and Qatar further shape assessments of whether full-scale declared conflict becomes likely before any market resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯจะประกาศสงครามกับอิหร่านอย่างเป็นทางการโดย...?
สหรัฐฯจะประกาศสงครามกับอิหร่านอย่างเป็นทางการโดย...?
$7,815,717 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
31 ธันวาคม
2%
$7,815,717 ปริมาณ
31 ธันวาคม
$843,083 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran hostilities have involved repeated US and Israeli strikes on Iranian military, nuclear-related, and maritime targets since early 2026, alongside Iranian responses targeting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, without any formal congressional declaration of war. A June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding sought to de-escalate through sanctions relief, reconstruction funding, and nuclear talks, but hard-liner actions in Iran triggered renewed tit-for-tat attacks and violations, sustaining trader focus on escalation risks. Congressional debates over War Powers Resolutions highlight the constitutional barrier to formal declaration, which requires explicit legislative approval rather than executive action or AUMF-style authorizations. Midterm election timelines and ongoing diplomatic channels with mediators like Oman and Qatar further shape assessments of whether full-scale declared conflict becomes likely before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,815,717วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran hostilities have involved repeated US and Israeli strikes on Iranian military, nuclear-related, and maritime targets since early 2026, alongside Iranian responses targeting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, without any formal congressional declaration of war. A June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding sought to de-escalate through sanctions relief, reconstruction funding, and nuclear talks, but hard-liner actions in Iran triggered renewed tit-for-tat attacks and violations, sustaining trader focus on escalation risks. Congressional debates over War Powers Resolutions highlight the constitutional barrier to formal declaration, which requires explicit legislative approval rather than executive action or AUMF-style authorizations. Midterm election timelines and ongoing diplomatic channels with mediators like Oman and Qatar further shape assessments of whether full-scale declared conflict becomes likely before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,815,717วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...US-Iran hostilities have involved repeated US and Israeli strikes on Iranian military, nuclear-related, and maritime targets since early 2026, alongside Iranian responses targeting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, without any formal congressional declaration of war. A June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding sought to de-escalate through sanctions relief, reconstruction funding, and nuclear talks, but hard-liner actions in Iran triggered renewed tit-for-tat attacks and violations, sustaining trader focus on escalation risks. Congressional debates over War Powers Resolutions highlight the constitutional barrier to formal declaration, which requires explicit legislative approval rather than executive action or AUMF-style authorizations. Midterm election timelines and ongoing diplomatic channels with mediators like Oman and Qatar further shape assessments of whether full-scale declared conflict becomes likely before any market resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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