Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats by Argentina and Kuwait in early September 2026, following Iran's statements on Argentine legal matters and a missile strike on Kuwait International Airport, underscore ongoing reciprocal diplomatic tensions. These actions align with similar moves by France in August 2026 over interference disputes and earlier U.S. and Australian decisions tied to national security and alleged proxy activities. Trader sentiment reflects patterns of tit-for-tat responses under the Vienna Convention framework, where countries declare personnel persona non grata amid broader regional conflicts and accusations of interference. Key upcoming factors include any further Iranian diplomatic statements, missile incidents, or bilateral negotiations that could prompt additional host-country actions within resolution windows.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by...?
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?
$30,982 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
15%
October 31
24%
$30,982 ปริมาณ
September 30
$1,035 ปริมาณ
15%
October 31
$1,630 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats by Argentina and Kuwait in early September 2026, following Iran's statements on Argentine legal matters and a missile strike on Kuwait International Airport, underscore ongoing reciprocal diplomatic tensions. These actions align with similar moves by France in August 2026 over interference disputes and earlier U.S. and Australian decisions tied to national security and alleged proxy activities. Trader sentiment reflects patterns of tit-for-tat responses under the Vienna Convention framework, where countries declare personnel persona non grata amid broader regional conflicts and accusations of interference. Key upcoming factors include any further Iranian diplomatic statements, missile incidents, or bilateral negotiations that could prompt additional host-country actions within resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,982วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats by Argentina and Kuwait in early September 2026, following Iran's statements on Argentine legal matters and a missile strike on Kuwait International Airport, underscore ongoing reciprocal diplomatic tensions. These actions align with similar moves by France in August 2026 over interference disputes and earlier U.S. and Australian decisions tied to national security and alleged proxy activities. Trader sentiment reflects patterns of tit-for-tat responses under the Vienna Convention framework, where countries declare personnel persona non grata amid broader regional conflicts and accusations of interference. Key upcoming factors include any further Iranian diplomatic statements, missile incidents, or bilateral negotiations that could prompt additional host-country actions within resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,982วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats by Argentina and Kuwait in early September 2026, following Iran's statements on Argentine legal matters and a missile strike on Kuwait International Airport, underscore ongoing reciprocal diplomatic tensions. These actions align with similar moves by France in August 2026 over interference disputes and earlier U.S. and Australian decisions tied to national security and alleged proxy activities. Trader sentiment reflects patterns of tit-for-tat responses under the Vienna Convention framework, where countries declare personnel persona non grata amid broader regional conflicts and accusations of interference. Key upcoming factors include any further Iranian diplomatic statements, missile incidents, or bilateral negotiations that could prompt additional host-country actions within resolution windows.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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