Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Washington’s competitive 3rd District, where she advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary ahead of Republican state Sen. John Braun. Traders appear to price her lead on her established voter base, superior fundraising, and record of crossing party lines on select votes, which align with the district’s swing electorate that supported Donald Trump in 2024 yet backed her in prior cycles. Braun, endorsed by Trump and backed by outside spending from aligned PACs, faces an uphill path in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. Scheduled October debates and late-cycle advertising could still shift margins, but current consensus reflects Perez’s structural advantages heading into November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$34,917 ปริมาณ
$34,917 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)
89%
John Braun (R)
8%
$34,917 ปริมาณ
$34,917 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)
$23,787 ปริมาณ
89%
John Braun (R)
$11,130 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Washington’s competitive 3rd District, where she advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary ahead of Republican state Sen. John Braun. Traders appear to price her lead on her established voter base, superior fundraising, and record of crossing party lines on select votes, which align with the district’s swing electorate that supported Donald Trump in 2024 yet backed her in prior cycles. Braun, endorsed by Trump and backed by outside spending from aligned PACs, faces an uphill path in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. Scheduled October debates and late-cycle advertising could still shift margins, but current consensus reflects Perez’s structural advantages heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,917วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Washington’s competitive 3rd District, where she advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary ahead of Republican state Sen. John Braun. Traders appear to price her lead on her established voter base, superior fundraising, and record of crossing party lines on select votes, which align with the district’s swing electorate that supported Donald Trump in 2024 yet backed her in prior cycles. Braun, endorsed by Trump and backed by outside spending from aligned PACs, faces an uphill path in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. Scheduled October debates and late-cycle advertising could still shift margins, but current consensus reflects Perez’s structural advantages heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,917วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Washington’s competitive 3rd District, where she advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary ahead of Republican state Sen. John Braun. Traders appear to price her lead on her established voter base, superior fundraising, and record of crossing party lines on select votes, which align with the district’s swing electorate that supported Donald Trump in 2024 yet backed her in prior cycles. Braun, endorsed by Trump and backed by outside spending from aligned PACs, faces an uphill path in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. Scheduled October debates and late-cycle advertising could still shift margins, but current consensus reflects Perez’s structural advantages heading into November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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