Recent Q2 2026 GDP revisions to 1.4% annualized QoQ, driven by firmer capex and a 0.5 percentage point net export contribution, anchor trader expectations for Q3 amid ongoing private consumption weakness. Real wages rose 2.4% year-over-year in July, the strongest gain since 2021, while unemployment held near 2.4-2.5%, supporting a modest rebound in household spending despite 1.9% July CPI. Export resilience tied to AI and semiconductor demand contrasts with soft domestic investment and potential headwinds from Bank of Japan tightening, with markets pricing a September hike to 1.25%. These crosscurrents—wage momentum versus consumption drag and policy normalization—keep the 0.8-1.6% and 0.0-0.8% annualized bands closely contested ahead of November data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJapan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
0.8%–1.6% 26%
0.0%–0.8% 19.6%
-0.8%–0.0% 13%
1.6%–2.4% 11.4%
$24,951 ปริมาณ
$24,951 ปริมาณ
Nov 15, 2026
<-2.4%
3%
-2.4%– -1.6%
3%
-1.6%– -0.8%
4%
-0.8%–0.0%
13%
0.0%–0.8%
20%
0.8%–1.6%
26%
1.6%–2.4%
11%
2.4%–3.2%
7%
3.2%–4.0%
6%
4.0%+
1%
0.8%–1.6% 26%
0.0%–0.8% 19.6%
-0.8%–0.0% 13%
1.6%–2.4% 11.4%
$24,951 ปริมาณ
$24,951 ปริมาณ
Nov 15, 2026
<-2.4%
$338 ปริมาณ
3%
-2.4%– -1.6%
$3,733 ปริมาณ
3%
-1.6%– -0.8%
$267 ปริมาณ
4%
-0.8%–0.0%
$2,239 ปริมาณ
13%
0.0%–0.8%
$10,866 ปริมาณ
20%
0.8%–1.6%
$1,804 ปริมาณ
26%
1.6%–2.4%
$635 ปริมาณ
11%
2.4%–3.2%
$3,328 ปริมาณ
7%
3.2%–4.0%
$1,219 ปริมาณ
6%
4.0%+
$521 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.htmlRecent Q2 2026 GDP revisions to 1.4% annualized QoQ, driven by firmer capex and a 0.5 percentage point net export contribution, anchor trader expectations for Q3 amid ongoing private consumption weakness. Real wages rose 2.4% year-over-year in July, the strongest gain since 2021, while unemployment held near 2.4-2.5%, supporting a modest rebound in household spending despite 1.9% July CPI. Export resilience tied to AI and semiconductor demand contrasts with soft domestic investment and potential headwinds from Bank of Japan tightening, with markets pricing a September hike to 1.25%. These crosscurrents—wage momentum versus consumption drag and policy normalization—keep the 0.8-1.6% and 0.0-0.8% annualized bands closely contested ahead of November data.
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.html
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.html
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,951วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 3:20 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.htmlRecent Q2 2026 GDP revisions to 1.4% annualized QoQ, driven by firmer capex and a 0.5 percentage point net export contribution, anchor trader expectations for Q3 amid ongoing private consumption weakness. Real wages rose 2.4% year-over-year in July, the strongest gain since 2021, while unemployment held near 2.4-2.5%, supporting a modest rebound in household spending despite 1.9% July CPI. Export resilience tied to AI and semiconductor demand contrasts with soft domestic investment and potential headwinds from Bank of Japan tightening, with markets pricing a September hike to 1.25%. These crosscurrents—wage momentum versus consumption drag and policy normalization—keep the 0.8-1.6% and 0.0-0.8% annualized bands closely contested ahead of November data.
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.html
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.html
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,951วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 3:20 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 GDP revisions to 1.4% annualized QoQ, driven by firmer capex and a 0.5 percentage point net export contribution, anchor trader expectations for Q3 amid ongoing private consumption weakness. Real wages rose 2.4% year-over-year in July, the strongest gain since 2021, while unemployment held near 2.4-2.5%, supporting a modest rebound in household spending despite 1.9% July CPI. Export resilience tied to AI and semiconductor demand contrasts with soft domestic investment and potential headwinds from Bank of Japan tightening, with markets pricing a September hike to 1.25%. These crosscurrents—wage momentum versus consumption drag and policy normalization—keep the 0.8-1.6% and 0.0-0.8% annualized bands closely contested ahead of November data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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