Ongoing military operations and stalled diplomacy continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement before 2027. On September 21, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated there had been no progress in negotiations, though Moscow remains open to resuming U.S.-mediated trilateral talks. Those discussions, last held in February 2026 in Geneva after earlier sessions in Abu Dhabi, produced only a prisoner exchange and left core disputes unresolved, including Russian demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas and Kyiv’s insistence on sovereignty protections and security guarantees. Recent U.S. envoy visits in early September and a proposed October round have not altered positions, while new U.S. sanctions legislation adds friction. Both sides maintain battlefield pressure, with no verified ceasefire or breakthrough in the past month.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
10% โอกาส
$2,776,741 ปริมาณ
$2,776,741 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
10% โอกาส
$2,776,741 ปริมาณ
$2,776,741 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing military operations and stalled diplomacy continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement before 2027. On September 21, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated there had been no progress in negotiations, though Moscow remains open to resuming U.S.-mediated trilateral talks. Those discussions, last held in February 2026 in Geneva after earlier sessions in Abu Dhabi, produced only a prisoner exchange and left core disputes unresolved, including Russian demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas and Kyiv’s insistence on sovereignty protections and security guarantees. Recent U.S. envoy visits in early September and a proposed October round have not altered positions, while new U.S. sanctions legislation adds friction. Both sides maintain battlefield pressure, with no verified ceasefire or breakthrough in the past month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,776,741วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing military operations and stalled diplomacy continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement before 2027. On September 21, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated there had been no progress in negotiations, though Moscow remains open to resuming U.S.-mediated trilateral talks. Those discussions, last held in February 2026 in Geneva after earlier sessions in Abu Dhabi, produced only a prisoner exchange and left core disputes unresolved, including Russian demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas and Kyiv’s insistence on sovereignty protections and security guarantees. Recent U.S. envoy visits in early September and a proposed October round have not altered positions, while new U.S. sanctions legislation adds friction. Both sides maintain battlefield pressure, with no verified ceasefire or breakthrough in the past month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,776,741วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military operations and stalled diplomacy continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a comprehensive Ukraine-Russia peace agreement before 2027. On September 21, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated there had been no progress in negotiations, though Moscow remains open to resuming U.S.-mediated trilateral talks. Those discussions, last held in February 2026 in Geneva after earlier sessions in Abu Dhabi, produced only a prisoner exchange and left core disputes unresolved, including Russian demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas and Kyiv’s insistence on sovereignty protections and security guarantees. Recent U.S. envoy visits in early September and a proposed October round have not altered positions, while new U.S. sanctions legislation adds friction. Both sides maintain battlefield pressure, with no verified ceasefire or breakthrough in the past month.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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