Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in the TX-28 race due to his long incumbency, decisive March primary win, and the December 2025 presidential pardon that resolved prior federal charges, enabling forecasters to shift the seat from toss-up to lean Democratic. The district's mid-decade redistricting created a more Republican baseline, yet Cuellar retains advantages in name recognition and federal funding delivery across South Texas counties. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Texas Southern University survey showing him ahead 45-34 percent with crossover support from 2024 Trump voters, reinforces trader consensus. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Democrat endorsed by President Trump, emphasizes border issues and local tax cuts but trails in fundraising momentum and general-election surveys. The November general election timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or campaign developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Henry Cuellar (D)
79%
Tano Tijerina (R)
18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Henry Cuellar (D)
$4,189 ปริมาณ
79%
Tano Tijerina (R)
$5,496 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in the TX-28 race due to his long incumbency, decisive March primary win, and the December 2025 presidential pardon that resolved prior federal charges, enabling forecasters to shift the seat from toss-up to lean Democratic. The district's mid-decade redistricting created a more Republican baseline, yet Cuellar retains advantages in name recognition and federal funding delivery across South Texas counties. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Texas Southern University survey showing him ahead 45-34 percent with crossover support from 2024 Trump voters, reinforces trader consensus. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Democrat endorsed by President Trump, emphasizes border issues and local tax cuts but trails in fundraising momentum and general-election surveys. The November general election timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,684วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in the TX-28 race due to his long incumbency, decisive March primary win, and the December 2025 presidential pardon that resolved prior federal charges, enabling forecasters to shift the seat from toss-up to lean Democratic. The district's mid-decade redistricting created a more Republican baseline, yet Cuellar retains advantages in name recognition and federal funding delivery across South Texas counties. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Texas Southern University survey showing him ahead 45-34 percent with crossover support from 2024 Trump voters, reinforces trader consensus. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Democrat endorsed by President Trump, emphasizes border issues and local tax cuts but trails in fundraising momentum and general-election surveys. The November general election timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,684วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in the TX-28 race due to his long incumbency, decisive March primary win, and the December 2025 presidential pardon that resolved prior federal charges, enabling forecasters to shift the seat from toss-up to lean Democratic. The district's mid-decade redistricting created a more Republican baseline, yet Cuellar retains advantages in name recognition and federal funding delivery across South Texas counties. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Texas Southern University survey showing him ahead 45-34 percent with crossover support from 2024 Trump voters, reinforces trader consensus. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Democrat endorsed by President Trump, emphasizes border issues and local tax cuts but trails in fundraising momentum and general-election surveys. The November general election timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or campaign developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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