Nellie Pou holds a commanding lead in the NJ-09 race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, backed by a substantial fundraising edge of over $2.6 million compared to Republican Rosemary Pino’s roughly $438,000. Pou advanced unopposed in the June Democratic primary after succeeding the late Bill Pascrell, while Pino narrowly won her party’s nomination in the same month. The district, redrawn in 2021 and narrowly carried by Trump in 2024, showed a reversion toward Democratic performance in the 2025 gubernatorial contest. Forecasters rate the seat as likely or leaning Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant shift in national political conditions, unusually high Republican turnout, or unforeseen late developments could narrow the gap, though structural and resource advantages currently favor the incumbent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$25,739 ปริมาณ
$25,739 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Nellie Pou (D)
93%
Rosie Pino (R)
7%
$25,739 ปริมาณ
$25,739 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Nellie Pou (D)
$13,433 ปริมาณ
93%
Rosie Pino (R)
$12,306 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nellie Pou holds a commanding lead in the NJ-09 race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, backed by a substantial fundraising edge of over $2.6 million compared to Republican Rosemary Pino’s roughly $438,000. Pou advanced unopposed in the June Democratic primary after succeeding the late Bill Pascrell, while Pino narrowly won her party’s nomination in the same month. The district, redrawn in 2021 and narrowly carried by Trump in 2024, showed a reversion toward Democratic performance in the 2025 gubernatorial contest. Forecasters rate the seat as likely or leaning Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant shift in national political conditions, unusually high Republican turnout, or unforeseen late developments could narrow the gap, though structural and resource advantages currently favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,739วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nellie Pou holds a commanding lead in the NJ-09 race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, backed by a substantial fundraising edge of over $2.6 million compared to Republican Rosemary Pino’s roughly $438,000. Pou advanced unopposed in the June Democratic primary after succeeding the late Bill Pascrell, while Pino narrowly won her party’s nomination in the same month. The district, redrawn in 2021 and narrowly carried by Trump in 2024, showed a reversion toward Democratic performance in the 2025 gubernatorial contest. Forecasters rate the seat as likely or leaning Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant shift in national political conditions, unusually high Republican turnout, or unforeseen late developments could narrow the gap, though structural and resource advantages currently favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,739วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Nellie Pou holds a commanding lead in the NJ-09 race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, backed by a substantial fundraising edge of over $2.6 million compared to Republican Rosemary Pino’s roughly $438,000. Pou advanced unopposed in the June Democratic primary after succeeding the late Bill Pascrell, while Pino narrowly won her party’s nomination in the same month. The district, redrawn in 2021 and narrowly carried by Trump in 2024, showed a reversion toward Democratic performance in the 2025 gubernatorial contest. Forecasters rate the seat as likely or leaning Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant shift in national political conditions, unusually high Republican turnout, or unforeseen late developments could narrow the gap, though structural and resource advantages currently favor the incumbent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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