Dan Meuser’s commanding position in the PA-09 race stems from the district’s entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024. As the incumbent since 2019, Meuser secured reelection in 2024 with more than 70 percent of the vote and faced no primary opposition in 2026. Democratic nominee Rachel Wallace, a local resident with prior federal government experience, has raised funds and secured endorsements including from Governor Josh Shapiro, yet the seat carries Solid Republican ratings across major forecasters. Traders price the outcome at 95.8 percent for Meuser because the district’s voter registration edge and past margins create substantial structural barriers. A late-breaking scandal, unusually strong national Democratic performance, or dramatic polling reversal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-09 House Election Winner
PA-09 House Election Winner
$22,210 ปริมาณ
$22,210 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Dan Meuser (R)
96%
Rachel Wallace (D)
4%
$22,210 ปริมาณ
$22,210 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Dan Meuser (R)
$14,388 ปริมาณ
96%
Rachel Wallace (D)
$7,822 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dan Meuser’s commanding position in the PA-09 race stems from the district’s entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024. As the incumbent since 2019, Meuser secured reelection in 2024 with more than 70 percent of the vote and faced no primary opposition in 2026. Democratic nominee Rachel Wallace, a local resident with prior federal government experience, has raised funds and secured endorsements including from Governor Josh Shapiro, yet the seat carries Solid Republican ratings across major forecasters. Traders price the outcome at 95.8 percent for Meuser because the district’s voter registration edge and past margins create substantial structural barriers. A late-breaking scandal, unusually strong national Democratic performance, or dramatic polling reversal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,210วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dan Meuser’s commanding position in the PA-09 race stems from the district’s entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024. As the incumbent since 2019, Meuser secured reelection in 2024 with more than 70 percent of the vote and faced no primary opposition in 2026. Democratic nominee Rachel Wallace, a local resident with prior federal government experience, has raised funds and secured endorsements including from Governor Josh Shapiro, yet the seat carries Solid Republican ratings across major forecasters. Traders price the outcome at 95.8 percent for Meuser because the district’s voter registration edge and past margins create substantial structural barriers. A late-breaking scandal, unusually strong national Democratic performance, or dramatic polling reversal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,210วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Dan Meuser’s commanding position in the PA-09 race stems from the district’s entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024. As the incumbent since 2019, Meuser secured reelection in 2024 with more than 70 percent of the vote and faced no primary opposition in 2026. Democratic nominee Rachel Wallace, a local resident with prior federal government experience, has raised funds and secured endorsements including from Governor Josh Shapiro, yet the seat carries Solid Republican ratings across major forecasters. Traders price the outcome at 95.8 percent for Meuser because the district’s voter registration edge and past margins create substantial structural barriers. A late-breaking scandal, unusually strong national Democratic performance, or dramatic polling reversal could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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