Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic nominee's age reflects a wide-open primary featuring multiple younger contenders such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Sen. Jon Ossoff, and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg alongside established figures including Gov. Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris. Early national polls and prediction markets show no dominant frontrunner, with support fragmented across age cohorts and strong emphasis on generational change following the party's 2024 results. The near-even pricing between the under-45 and 45-54 brackets captures uncertainty over which candidates will gain traction after the 2026 midterms, secure early-state endorsements, or demonstrate fundraising strength. Shifts in polling averages, midterm outcomes, or formal declarations by governors and senators could quickly separate the age brackets by clarifying the field's composition and voter preference for experience versus renewal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAge of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Under 45 36%
45-54 29%
55-64 17%
85+ 5.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2028
Under 45
43%
45-54
29%
55-64
19%
65-74
10%
75-84
5%
85+
5%
Under 45 36%
45-54 29%
55-64 17%
85+ 5.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2028
Under 45
$1,024 ปริมาณ
43%
45-54
$785 ปริมาณ
29%
55-64
$247 ปริมาณ
19%
65-74
$144 ปริมาณ
10%
75-84
$135 ปริมาณ
5%
85+
$148 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic nominee's age reflects a wide-open primary featuring multiple younger contenders such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Sen. Jon Ossoff, and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg alongside established figures including Gov. Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris. Early national polls and prediction markets show no dominant frontrunner, with support fragmented across age cohorts and strong emphasis on generational change following the party's 2024 results. The near-even pricing between the under-45 and 45-54 brackets captures uncertainty over which candidates will gain traction after the 2026 midterms, secure early-state endorsements, or demonstrate fundraising strength. Shifts in polling averages, midterm outcomes, or formal declarations by governors and senators could quickly separate the age brackets by clarifying the field's composition and voter preference for experience versus renewal.
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,482วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic nominee's age reflects a wide-open primary featuring multiple younger contenders such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Sen. Jon Ossoff, and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg alongside established figures including Gov. Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris. Early national polls and prediction markets show no dominant frontrunner, with support fragmented across age cohorts and strong emphasis on generational change following the party's 2024 results. The near-even pricing between the under-45 and 45-54 brackets captures uncertainty over which candidates will gain traction after the 2026 midterms, secure early-state endorsements, or demonstrate fundraising strength. Shifts in polling averages, midterm outcomes, or formal declarations by governors and senators could quickly separate the age brackets by clarifying the field's composition and voter preference for experience versus renewal.
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,482วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic nominee's age reflects a wide-open primary featuring multiple younger contenders such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Sen. Jon Ossoff, and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg alongside established figures including Gov. Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris. Early national polls and prediction markets show no dominant frontrunner, with support fragmented across age cohorts and strong emphasis on generational change following the party's 2024 results. The near-even pricing between the under-45 and 45-54 brackets captures uncertainty over which candidates will gain traction after the 2026 midterms, secure early-state endorsements, or demonstrate fundraising strength. Shifts in polling averages, midterm outcomes, or formal declarations by governors and senators could quickly separate the age brackets by clarifying the field's composition and voter preference for experience versus renewal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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