Recent polls show The Left, CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between roughly 16% and 23% support ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, creating a tight contest where any of the four could finish third. Trader consensus prices AfD highest at 56% for third place while assigning lower probabilities to CDU, Greens, and others, consistent with the party’s steady polling position just behind the leaders. Minor shifts in turnout among urban or eastern districts, late campaign momentum, or differential mobilization of swing voters could easily reorder the middle of the field and alter the final ranking.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAfD 56%
CDU 18%
Grüne 13%
Linke 11%
$37,900 ปริมาณ
$37,900 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
56%
CDU
18%
Grüne
13%
Linke
11%
SPD
1%
BSW
1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 56%
CDU 18%
Grüne 13%
Linke 11%
$37,900 ปริมาณ
$37,900 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$9,264 ปริมาณ
56%
CDU
$11,152 ปริมาณ
18%
Grüne
$5,262 ปริมาณ
13%
Linke
$6,793 ปริมาณ
11%
SPD
$2,739 ปริมาณ
1%
BSW
$908 ปริมาณ
1%
FDP
$1,069 ปริมาณ
<1%
FW
$713 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls show The Left, CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between roughly 16% and 23% support ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, creating a tight contest where any of the four could finish third. Trader consensus prices AfD highest at 56% for third place while assigning lower probabilities to CDU, Greens, and others, consistent with the party’s steady polling position just behind the leaders. Minor shifts in turnout among urban or eastern districts, late campaign momentum, or differential mobilization of swing voters could easily reorder the middle of the field and alter the final ranking.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,900วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls show The Left, CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between roughly 16% and 23% support ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, creating a tight contest where any of the four could finish third. Trader consensus prices AfD highest at 56% for third place while assigning lower probabilities to CDU, Greens, and others, consistent with the party’s steady polling position just behind the leaders. Minor shifts in turnout among urban or eastern districts, late campaign momentum, or differential mobilization of swing voters could easily reorder the middle of the field and alter the final ranking.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,900วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show The Left, CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between roughly 16% and 23% support ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, creating a tight contest where any of the four could finish third. Trader consensus prices AfD highest at 56% for third place while assigning lower probabilities to CDU, Greens, and others, consistent with the party’s steady polling position just behind the leaders. Minor shifts in turnout among urban or eastern districts, late campaign momentum, or differential mobilization of swing voters could easily reorder the middle of the field and alter the final ranking.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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