Recent rises in the 5-year Treasury yield to around 4.86% as of mid-September 2026 stem primarily from resilient U.S. growth, persistent core inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and an expanded term premium driven by heavy Treasury supply amid $40 trillion in federal debt plus substantial corporate issuance tied to AI infrastructure. The September FOMC hike and projections holding the policy rate near 4% through 2027 have reinforced higher-for-longer expectations, while geopolitical energy pressures and shifting buyer composition toward price-sensitive investors add upward pressure. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI prints, employment data, and the next FOMC meeting, which could determine whether yields test lower levels before year-end or remain anchored by these fundamentals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$24,002 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
Below 4.50%
70%
Below 4.45%
74%
Below 4.40%
38%
Below 4.35%
33%
Below 4.30%
35%
Below 4.25%
18%
Below 4.20%
13%
Below 4.10%
12%
Below 4.00%
9%
$24,002 ปริมาณ
Below 4.50%
$1,470 ปริมาณ
70%
Below 4.45%
$2,725 ปริมาณ
74%
Below 4.40%
$1,742 ปริมาณ
38%
Below 4.35%
$3,064 ปริมาณ
33%
Below 4.30%
$2,296 ปริมาณ
35%
Below 4.25%
$834 ปริมาณ
18%
Below 4.20%
$3,577 ปริมาณ
13%
Below 4.10%
$6,694 ปริมาณ
12%
Below 4.00%
$1,600 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent rises in the 5-year Treasury yield to around 4.86% as of mid-September 2026 stem primarily from resilient U.S. growth, persistent core inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and an expanded term premium driven by heavy Treasury supply amid $40 trillion in federal debt plus substantial corporate issuance tied to AI infrastructure. The September FOMC hike and projections holding the policy rate near 4% through 2027 have reinforced higher-for-longer expectations, while geopolitical energy pressures and shifting buyer composition toward price-sensitive investors add upward pressure. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI prints, employment data, and the next FOMC meeting, which could determine whether yields test lower levels before year-end or remain anchored by these fundamentals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,002วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent rises in the 5-year Treasury yield to around 4.86% as of mid-September 2026 stem primarily from resilient U.S. growth, persistent core inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and an expanded term premium driven by heavy Treasury supply amid $40 trillion in federal debt plus substantial corporate issuance tied to AI infrastructure. The September FOMC hike and projections holding the policy rate near 4% through 2027 have reinforced higher-for-longer expectations, while geopolitical energy pressures and shifting buyer composition toward price-sensitive investors add upward pressure. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI prints, employment data, and the next FOMC meeting, which could determine whether yields test lower levels before year-end or remain anchored by these fundamentals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,002วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent rises in the 5-year Treasury yield to around 4.86% as of mid-September 2026 stem primarily from resilient U.S. growth, persistent core inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and an expanded term premium driven by heavy Treasury supply amid $40 trillion in federal debt plus substantial corporate issuance tied to AI infrastructure. The September FOMC hike and projections holding the policy rate near 4% through 2027 have reinforced higher-for-longer expectations, while geopolitical energy pressures and shifting buyer composition toward price-sensitive investors add upward pressure. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI prints, employment data, and the next FOMC meeting, which could determine whether yields test lower levels before year-end or remain anchored by these fundamentals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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