Recent data show the 5-year Treasury yield trading near 4.86% as of mid-September 2026, elevated from sub-4% levels earlier in the year amid sticky core inflation, resilient growth, and geopolitical pressures on energy prices. Markets price a higher-for-longer Fed path, with the effective federal funds rate near 3.6–3.9% and reduced odds of near-term cuts as policymakers prioritize returning inflation to the 2% target. Elevated term premiums reflect heavy Treasury supply, fiscal deficits projected above 6% of GDP, and uncertainty around policy under new Fed leadership. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, labor market reports, and FOMC communications that could shift real yields or breakeven inflation expectations and influence whether yields test lower levels before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$24,002 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
Below 4.50%
69%
Below 4.45%
68%
Below 4.40%
38%
Below 4.35%
33%
Below 4.30%
35%
Below 4.25%
20%
Below 4.20%
13%
Below 4.10%
12%
Below 4.00%
9%
$24,002 ปริมาณ
Below 4.50%
$1,470 ปริมาณ
69%
Below 4.45%
$2,725 ปริมาณ
68%
Below 4.40%
$1,742 ปริมาณ
38%
Below 4.35%
$3,064 ปริมาณ
33%
Below 4.30%
$2,296 ปริมาณ
35%
Below 4.25%
$834 ปริมาณ
20%
Below 4.20%
$3,577 ปริมาณ
13%
Below 4.10%
$6,694 ปริมาณ
12%
Below 4.00%
$1,600 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent data show the 5-year Treasury yield trading near 4.86% as of mid-September 2026, elevated from sub-4% levels earlier in the year amid sticky core inflation, resilient growth, and geopolitical pressures on energy prices. Markets price a higher-for-longer Fed path, with the effective federal funds rate near 3.6–3.9% and reduced odds of near-term cuts as policymakers prioritize returning inflation to the 2% target. Elevated term premiums reflect heavy Treasury supply, fiscal deficits projected above 6% of GDP, and uncertainty around policy under new Fed leadership. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, labor market reports, and FOMC communications that could shift real yields or breakeven inflation expectations and influence whether yields test lower levels before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,002วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent data show the 5-year Treasury yield trading near 4.86% as of mid-September 2026, elevated from sub-4% levels earlier in the year amid sticky core inflation, resilient growth, and geopolitical pressures on energy prices. Markets price a higher-for-longer Fed path, with the effective federal funds rate near 3.6–3.9% and reduced odds of near-term cuts as policymakers prioritize returning inflation to the 2% target. Elevated term premiums reflect heavy Treasury supply, fiscal deficits projected above 6% of GDP, and uncertainty around policy under new Fed leadership. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, labor market reports, and FOMC communications that could shift real yields or breakeven inflation expectations and influence whether yields test lower levels before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,002วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent data show the 5-year Treasury yield trading near 4.86% as of mid-September 2026, elevated from sub-4% levels earlier in the year amid sticky core inflation, resilient growth, and geopolitical pressures on energy prices. Markets price a higher-for-longer Fed path, with the effective federal funds rate near 3.6–3.9% and reduced odds of near-term cuts as policymakers prioritize returning inflation to the 2% target. Elevated term premiums reflect heavy Treasury supply, fiscal deficits projected above 6% of GDP, and uncertainty around policy under new Fed leadership. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, labor market reports, and FOMC communications that could shift real yields or breakeven inflation expectations and influence whether yields test lower levels before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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