Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models positions a daily maximum of 28–29°C as the most likely outcome for Wuhan on September 11, driven by northerly flow under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds that limit daytime heating. Official guidance shows highs near 28–29°C with minimal precipitation risk and dew points supporting moderate humidity, consistent with early-September climatology where average highs reach about 28.5–29°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 29°C and 28°C outcomes, aligns with this narrow range while assigning lower probability to 30°C or higher, indicating limited upside potential from any model revisions or localized warming. Updated forecasts and observational data over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 11?
29°C 42%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
27°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
31%
29°C
42%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
27°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
31%
29°C
42%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models positions a daily maximum of 28–29°C as the most likely outcome for Wuhan on September 11, driven by northerly flow under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds that limit daytime heating. Official guidance shows highs near 28–29°C with minimal precipitation risk and dew points supporting moderate humidity, consistent with early-September climatology where average highs reach about 28.5–29°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 29°C and 28°C outcomes, aligns with this narrow range while assigning lower probability to 30°C or higher, indicating limited upside potential from any model revisions or localized warming. Updated forecasts and observational data over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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