**Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 9, 2026, producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.** September climatology shows typical highs near 30–31°C with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover; the observed peak aligned with a brief period of reduced rainfall and southerly flow that allowed stronger daytime heating before afternoon showers developed. Real-time regional data and model guidance had pointed to a narrow range around this value, leaving little room for deviation once measurements were finalized. Only an unlikely revision in official reporting, use of an alternate station, or post-event data correction could shift the result, scenarios traders viewed as negligible given the strength of the consensus data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$166,531 ปริมาณ
$166,531 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$166,531 ปริมาณ
$166,531 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
$21,405 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$333 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$401 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$5,965 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$29,744 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$20,735 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$20,691 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$41,442 ปริมาณ
100%
33°C
$23,408 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$2,185 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$223 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 9, 2026, producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.** September climatology shows typical highs near 30–31°C with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover; the observed peak aligned with a brief period of reduced rainfall and southerly flow that allowed stronger daytime heating before afternoon showers developed. Real-time regional data and model guidance had pointed to a narrow range around this value, leaving little room for deviation once measurements were finalized. Only an unlikely revision in official reporting, use of an alternate station, or post-event data correction could shift the result, scenarios traders viewed as negligible given the strength of the consensus data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$166,531วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 9, 2026, producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.** September climatology shows typical highs near 30–31°C with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover; the observed peak aligned with a brief period of reduced rainfall and southerly flow that allowed stronger daytime heating before afternoon showers developed. Real-time regional data and model guidance had pointed to a narrow range around this value, leaving little room for deviation once measurements were finalized. Only an unlikely revision in official reporting, use of an alternate station, or post-event data correction could shift the result, scenarios traders viewed as negligible given the strength of the consensus data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$166,531วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 9, 2026, producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.** September climatology shows typical highs near 30–31°C with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover; the observed peak aligned with a brief period of reduced rainfall and southerly flow that allowed stronger daytime heating before afternoon showers developed. Real-time regional data and model guidance had pointed to a narrow range around this value, leaving little room for deviation once measurements were finalized. Only an unlikely revision in official reporting, use of an alternate station, or post-event data correction could shift the result, scenarios traders viewed as negligible given the strength of the consensus data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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