Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate a broad range of overnight minimums for September 11, with official guidance and ensemble models showing lows near 15–18 °C amid lingering effects from the recent cold front and heavy rainfall on the 9th–10th. Variable cloud cover and northerly flow could limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting milder readings above 18 °C, while clearer skies or residual polar air would favor sub-15 °C outcomes. This genuine model spread—driven by steering patterns and moisture—explains the near-even market-implied odds between 24 °C or higher and 14 °C or below, with the tight clustering around 17–19 °C reflecting trader assessment of typical September variability and upcoming INMET/CPTEC updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 11?
14°C or below 65%
24°C or higher 65%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
65%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
24%
18°C
29%
19°C
26%
20°C
38%
21°C
20%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C or higher
65%
14°C or below 65%
24°C or higher 65%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
65%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
24°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate a broad range of overnight minimums for September 11, with official guidance and ensemble models showing lows near 15–18 °C amid lingering effects from the recent cold front and heavy rainfall on the 9th–10th. Variable cloud cover and northerly flow could limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting milder readings above 18 °C, while clearer skies or residual polar air would favor sub-15 °C outcomes. This genuine model spread—driven by steering patterns and moisture—explains the near-even market-implied odds between 24 °C or higher and 14 °C or below, with the tight clustering around 17–19 °C reflecting trader assessment of typical September variability and upcoming INMET/CPTEC updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate a broad range of overnight minimums for September 11, with official guidance and ensemble models showing lows near 15–18 °C amid lingering effects from the recent cold front and heavy rainfall on the 9th–10th. Variable cloud cover and northerly flow could limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting milder readings above 18 °C, while clearer skies or residual polar air would favor sub-15 °C outcomes. This genuine model spread—driven by steering patterns and moisture—explains the near-even market-implied odds between 24 °C or higher and 14 °C or below, with the tight clustering around 17–19 °C reflecting trader assessment of typical September variability and upcoming INMET/CPTEC updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate a broad range of overnight minimums for September 11, with official guidance and ensemble models showing lows near 15–18 °C amid lingering effects from the recent cold front and heavy rainfall on the 9th–10th. Variable cloud cover and northerly flow could limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting milder readings above 18 °C, while clearer skies or residual polar air would favor sub-15 °C outcomes. This genuine model spread—driven by steering patterns and moisture—explains the near-even market-implied odds between 24 °C or higher and 14 °C or below, with the tight clustering around 17–19 °C reflecting trader assessment of typical September variability and upcoming INMET/CPTEC updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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