Recent northerly winds and associated cooling have driven the market toward 25–26°C as the most probable high for Wuhan on September 10, with implied probabilities of 38.5% and 26.0% respectively. Multiple forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daytime peak near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies, following warmer 31–34°C readings earlier in the week. This reflects a transient cool-air intrusion that has lowered maximum temperatures by several degrees while keeping precipitation chances low. The 24°C outcome at 21% accounts for possible model spread or localized variations, whereas higher thresholds above 27°C remain low-probability given the established steering pattern and surface observations. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and official guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 10?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 10?
25°C 38%
24°C 29%
26°C 18%
23°C or below 12.2%
ใหม่
$15,682 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,682 ปริมาณ
Sep 10, 2026
23°C or below
12%
24°C
29%
25°C
38%
26°C
18%
27°C
6%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 38%
24°C 29%
26°C 18%
23°C or below 12.2%
ใหม่
$15,682 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,682 ปริมาณ
Sep 10, 2026
23°C or below
$772 ปริมาณ
12%
24°C
$2,203 ปริมาณ
29%
25°C
$2,039 ปริมาณ
38%
26°C
$2,474 ปริมาณ
18%
27°C
$1,517 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$2,772 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$1,606 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$864 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$416 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$568 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$451 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds and associated cooling have driven the market toward 25–26°C as the most probable high for Wuhan on September 10, with implied probabilities of 38.5% and 26.0% respectively. Multiple forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daytime peak near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies, following warmer 31–34°C readings earlier in the week. This reflects a transient cool-air intrusion that has lowered maximum temperatures by several degrees while keeping precipitation chances low. The 24°C outcome at 21% accounts for possible model spread or localized variations, whereas higher thresholds above 27°C remain low-probability given the established steering pattern and surface observations. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and official guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,682วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds and associated cooling have driven the market toward 25–26°C as the most probable high for Wuhan on September 10, with implied probabilities of 38.5% and 26.0% respectively. Multiple forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daytime peak near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies, following warmer 31–34°C readings earlier in the week. This reflects a transient cool-air intrusion that has lowered maximum temperatures by several degrees while keeping precipitation chances low. The 24°C outcome at 21% accounts for possible model spread or localized variations, whereas higher thresholds above 27°C remain low-probability given the established steering pattern and surface observations. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and official guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,682วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds and associated cooling have driven the market toward 25–26°C as the most probable high for Wuhan on September 10, with implied probabilities of 38.5% and 26.0% respectively. Multiple forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daytime peak near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies, following warmer 31–34°C readings earlier in the week. This reflects a transient cool-air intrusion that has lowered maximum temperatures by several degrees while keeping precipitation chances low. The 24°C outcome at 21% accounts for possible model spread or localized variations, whereas higher thresholds above 27°C remain low-probability given the established steering pattern and surface observations. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and official guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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