Forecast models from multiple sources project a daytime high of 25°C in Munich on September 15 under mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and negligible cloud cover, enabling strong solar heating. This exceeds the long-term September 15 average high of about 20°C, reflecting a stable warm air mass without significant frontal activity or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Hourly data show afternoon peaks clustering near 24–25°C, supporting the market's strong 72.5% implied probability for that outcome while leaving limited room for 24°C or 26°C. Official resolution will depend on the maximum reading from authorized stations, with no major model shifts expected before close of day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on September 15?
25°C 71%
24°C 18%
26°C 11%
23°C 3%
$25,035 ปริมาณ
$25,035 ปริมาณ
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
71%
26°C
11%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 71%
24°C 18%
26°C 11%
23°C 3%
$25,035 ปริมาณ
$25,035 ปริมาณ
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
71%
26°C
11%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources project a daytime high of 25°C in Munich on September 15 under mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and negligible cloud cover, enabling strong solar heating. This exceeds the long-term September 15 average high of about 20°C, reflecting a stable warm air mass without significant frontal activity or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Hourly data show afternoon peaks clustering near 24–25°C, supporting the market's strong 72.5% implied probability for that outcome while leaving limited room for 24°C or 26°C. Official resolution will depend on the maximum reading from authorized stations, with no major model shifts expected before close of day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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