Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20°C (54.5%) and 21°C (40.0%) because official Deutscher Wetterdienst forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF show a maximum temperature in that narrow range for Munich on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. Morning observations near 12–13°C with light winds and high humidity have supported gradual daytime warming without strong solar heating or warm advection that would push readings higher. Historical climatology places the average high near 19.5°C, and the absence of significant model spread or recent forecast shifts reinforces market consensus around these two outcomes while keeping lower or higher thresholds at minimal implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on September 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 17?
20°C 47%
21°C 40%
19°C 8%
22°C 6%
$31,539 ปริมาณ
$31,539 ปริมาณ
Sep 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
8%
20°C
47%
21°C
40%
22°C
6%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 47%
21°C 40%
19°C 8%
22°C 6%
$31,539 ปริมาณ
$31,539 ปริมาณ
Sep 17, 2026
16°C or below
$997 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$1,672 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$2,581 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$2,697 ปริมาณ
8%
20°C
$5,066 ปริมาณ
47%
21°C
$5,706 ปริมาณ
40%
22°C
$4,517 ปริมาณ
6%
23°C
$2,686 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$2,386 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$2,678 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$553 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20°C (54.5%) and 21°C (40.0%) because official Deutscher Wetterdienst forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF show a maximum temperature in that narrow range for Munich on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. Morning observations near 12–13°C with light winds and high humidity have supported gradual daytime warming without strong solar heating or warm advection that would push readings higher. Historical climatology places the average high near 19.5°C, and the absence of significant model spread or recent forecast shifts reinforces market consensus around these two outcomes while keeping lower or higher thresholds at minimal implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,539วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20°C (54.5%) and 21°C (40.0%) because official Deutscher Wetterdienst forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF show a maximum temperature in that narrow range for Munich on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. Morning observations near 12–13°C with light winds and high humidity have supported gradual daytime warming without strong solar heating or warm advection that would push readings higher. Historical climatology places the average high near 19.5°C, and the absence of significant model spread or recent forecast shifts reinforces market consensus around these two outcomes while keeping lower or higher thresholds at minimal implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,539วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20°C (54.5%) and 21°C (40.0%) because official Deutscher Wetterdienst forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF show a maximum temperature in that narrow range for Munich on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. Morning observations near 12–13°C with light winds and high humidity have supported gradual daytime warming without strong solar heating or warm advection that would push readings higher. Historical climatology places the average high near 19.5°C, and the absence of significant model spread or recent forecast shifts reinforces market consensus around these two outcomes while keeping lower or higher thresholds at minimal implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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