Official meteorological observations from the India Meteorological Department confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C in Lucknow on September 25, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-monsoon conditions, with reduced solar insolation and moisture-laden air moderating daytime highs below seasonal averages. Model consensus from regional forecasts had already pointed to limited diurnal temperature range due to cloud cover and humidity. While revisions to station data remain possible in rare cases of instrument calibration issues, the dominant consensus rests on verified surface measurements that traders treat as definitive for resolution.