Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on October 4 most likely between 24–26°C, with trader consensus favoring 25°C amid widespread cloud cover and light rain. Persistent overcast skies and elevated humidity in the Sichuan basin reduce solar insolation and limit daytime surface heating, while light precipitation and weak westerly steering keep the boundary layer stable. Recent forecasts from agencies show highs ranging 23–26°C depending on the exact timing and intensity of any brief clearing, creating the narrow spread between leading outcomes. New model runs and updated observations from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points for resolution.