Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate a high near 20–22°C for Ankara on September 23, driven by a passing frontal boundary that brings scattered showers and moderate westerly winds, limiting daytime heating. Recent runs show consensus around 20–21°C as the most probable maximum, with cloud cover and precipitation timing the key variables that could cap the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, but the current pattern reflects early autumn cooling. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with traders weighting ensemble guidance that will be refined by overnight model updates before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on September 23?
20°C 42%
21°C 34%
19°C 16%
22°C 6%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
16%
20°C
42%
21°C
34%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 42%
21°C 34%
19°C 16%
22°C 6%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
16%
20°C
42%
21°C
34%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate a high near 20–22°C for Ankara on September 23, driven by a passing frontal boundary that brings scattered showers and moderate westerly winds, limiting daytime heating. Recent runs show consensus around 20–21°C as the most probable maximum, with cloud cover and precipitation timing the key variables that could cap the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, but the current pattern reflects early autumn cooling. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with traders weighting ensemble guidance that will be refined by overnight model updates before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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