**Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and supporting model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 29–30°C in Lucknow on September 24, 2026, amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and moderate easterly winds.** Block-level IMD data issued September 22 project daytime highs of approximately 29.6°C across Lucknow districts, with 7–15 mm of rainfall and high humidity (morning near 89–94%). The southwest monsoon’s ongoing withdrawal from northwest India, including parts of Uttar Pradesh, combined with an upper-air cyclonic circulation, is sustaining cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with clearer pre-monsoon conditions. International guidance such as WeatherBug aligns closely, showing a high near 29–30°C (85°F) with a 45–50% chance of storms. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C, as traders weigh the cooling effect of expected precipitation against any potential for brief clear periods that could allow slightly higher readings. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs on the morning of September 24 will provide the key data for final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 24?
28°C 42%
29°C 30%
30°C 21%
31°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
42%
29°C
30%
30°C
21%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 30%
30°C 21%
31°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
42%
29°C
30%
30°C
21%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...**Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and supporting model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 29–30°C in Lucknow on September 24, 2026, amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and moderate easterly winds.** Block-level IMD data issued September 22 project daytime highs of approximately 29.6°C across Lucknow districts, with 7–15 mm of rainfall and high humidity (morning near 89–94%). The southwest monsoon’s ongoing withdrawal from northwest India, including parts of Uttar Pradesh, combined with an upper-air cyclonic circulation, is sustaining cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with clearer pre-monsoon conditions. International guidance such as WeatherBug aligns closely, showing a high near 29–30°C (85°F) with a 45–50% chance of storms. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C, as traders weigh the cooling effect of expected precipitation against any potential for brief clear periods that could allow slightly higher readings. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs on the morning of September 24 will provide the key data for final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย