Google's Gemini models trail the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 Flash posting scores near 47-48% while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 leads at 59%. The gap reflects Anthropic's stronger recent reasoning-focused releases and iterative scaling on expert-level questions spanning mathematics, physics, and biology. Google's competitive positioning depends on further Gemini 3.x iterations or a major 4.0-class model before year-end, as the benchmark's design leaves substantial headroom above current frontier performance. Traders watch for official Google DeepMind announcements, benchmark submissions, and any multimodal or tool-use enhancements that could close the deficit ahead of potential late-2026 model drops.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$92,724 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
50%+
90%
55%+
40%
60%+
21%
65%+
12%
70%+
4%
$92,724 ปริมาณ
50%+
$31,006 ปริมาณ
90%
55%+
$36,413 ปริมาณ
40%
60%+
$15,691 ปริมาณ
21%
65%+
$5,256 ปริมาณ
12%
70%+
$4,358 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google's Gemini models trail the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 Flash posting scores near 47-48% while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 leads at 59%. The gap reflects Anthropic's stronger recent reasoning-focused releases and iterative scaling on expert-level questions spanning mathematics, physics, and biology. Google's competitive positioning depends on further Gemini 3.x iterations or a major 4.0-class model before year-end, as the benchmark's design leaves substantial headroom above current frontier performance. Traders watch for official Google DeepMind announcements, benchmark submissions, and any multimodal or tool-use enhancements that could close the deficit ahead of potential late-2026 model drops.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,724วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google's Gemini models trail the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 Flash posting scores near 47-48% while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 leads at 59%. The gap reflects Anthropic's stronger recent reasoning-focused releases and iterative scaling on expert-level questions spanning mathematics, physics, and biology. Google's competitive positioning depends on further Gemini 3.x iterations or a major 4.0-class model before year-end, as the benchmark's design leaves substantial headroom above current frontier performance. Traders watch for official Google DeepMind announcements, benchmark submissions, and any multimodal or tool-use enhancements that could close the deficit ahead of potential late-2026 model drops.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,724วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Google's Gemini models trail the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 Flash posting scores near 47-48% while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 leads at 59%. The gap reflects Anthropic's stronger recent reasoning-focused releases and iterative scaling on expert-level questions spanning mathematics, physics, and biology. Google's competitive positioning depends on further Gemini 3.x iterations or a major 4.0-class model before year-end, as the benchmark's design leaves substantial headroom above current frontier performance. Traders watch for official Google DeepMind announcements, benchmark submissions, and any multimodal or tool-use enhancements that could close the deficit ahead of potential late-2026 model drops.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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