Recent U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve projections have anchored trader expectations for 2026 GDP growth near the 2.0–2.5% range. The FOMC’s September 2026 Summary of Economic Projections placed the median Q4/Q4 forecast at 2.3%, while private outlooks from institutions such as U.S. Bank and TD Economics cluster between 2.1% and 2.2%. Resilience in business investment, particularly AI-related capital spending, and steady consumer demand have offset softer Q2 growth of 1.5% annualized and elevated inflation readings near 3.4% year-over-year. The Fed’s September rate hike to a 3.75–4.00% target range reflects concerns over persistent price pressures, tempering upside risks and reinforcing the market-implied concentration around moderate expansion consistent with long-run potential.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGDP growth in 2026
GDP growth in 2026
2.0–2.5% 60%
>2.5% 20.8%
1.5–2.0% 12.4%
1.0–1.5% 6.1%
$70,772 ปริมาณ
$70,772 ปริมาณ
Jan 28, 2027
<0.5%
3%
0.5–1.0%
2%
1.0–1.5%
6%
1.5–2.0%
12%
2.0–2.5%
60%
>2.5%
21%
2.0–2.5% 60%
>2.5% 20.8%
1.5–2.0% 12.4%
1.0–1.5% 6.1%
$70,772 ปริมาณ
$70,772 ปริมาณ
Jan 28, 2027
<0.5%
$8,115 ปริมาณ
3%
0.5–1.0%
$17,725 ปริมาณ
2%
1.0–1.5%
$4,384 ปริมาณ
6%
1.5–2.0%
$8,668 ปริมาณ
12%
2.0–2.5%
$13,312 ปริมาณ
60%
>2.5%
$18,568 ปริมาณ
21%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve projections have anchored trader expectations for 2026 GDP growth near the 2.0–2.5% range. The FOMC’s September 2026 Summary of Economic Projections placed the median Q4/Q4 forecast at 2.3%, while private outlooks from institutions such as U.S. Bank and TD Economics cluster between 2.1% and 2.2%. Resilience in business investment, particularly AI-related capital spending, and steady consumer demand have offset softer Q2 growth of 1.5% annualized and elevated inflation readings near 3.4% year-over-year. The Fed’s September rate hike to a 3.75–4.00% target range reflects concerns over persistent price pressures, tempering upside risks and reinforcing the market-implied concentration around moderate expansion consistent with long-run potential.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,772วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve projections have anchored trader expectations for 2026 GDP growth near the 2.0–2.5% range. The FOMC’s September 2026 Summary of Economic Projections placed the median Q4/Q4 forecast at 2.3%, while private outlooks from institutions such as U.S. Bank and TD Economics cluster between 2.1% and 2.2%. Resilience in business investment, particularly AI-related capital spending, and steady consumer demand have offset softer Q2 growth of 1.5% annualized and elevated inflation readings near 3.4% year-over-year. The Fed’s September rate hike to a 3.75–4.00% target range reflects concerns over persistent price pressures, tempering upside risks and reinforcing the market-implied concentration around moderate expansion consistent with long-run potential.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,772วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Recent U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve projections have anchored trader expectations for 2026 GDP growth near the 2.0–2.5% range. The FOMC’s September 2026 Summary of Economic Projections placed the median Q4/Q4 forecast at 2.3%, while private outlooks from institutions such as U.S. Bank and TD Economics cluster between 2.1% and 2.2%. Resilience in business investment, particularly AI-related capital spending, and steady consumer demand have offset softer Q2 growth of 1.5% annualized and elevated inflation readings near 3.4% year-over-year. The Fed’s September rate hike to a 3.75–4.00% target range reflects concerns over persistent price pressures, tempering upside risks and reinforcing the market-implied concentration around moderate expansion consistent with long-run potential.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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