Recent FOMC projections and private forecasts place 2026 real GDP growth near 2.2 percent on an annual-average basis, with the median SEP estimate revised upward to 2.3 percent in September. This consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the 2.0–2.5 percent band. Solid consumer spending, AI-related capital investment, and productivity gains have offset higher interest rates and geopolitical pressures, keeping activity near potential despite Q2 growth printing at a modest 1.5 percent annualized rate. Sticky inflation has prompted the Fed to maintain a restrictive stance, limiting upside to growth while supporting the view that outcomes will cluster around the economy's long-run trend rather than materially exceed or fall short of it.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGDP growth in 2026
GDP growth in 2026
2.0–2.5% 63%
>2.5% 25.3%
1.5–2.0% 11.9%
1.0–1.5% 2.5%
$73,549 ปริมาณ
$73,549 ปริมาณ
Jan 28, 2027
<0.5%
1%
0.5–1.0%
1%
1.0–1.5%
2%
1.5–2.0%
12%
2.0–2.5%
63%
>2.5%
25%
2.0–2.5% 63%
>2.5% 25.3%
1.5–2.0% 11.9%
1.0–1.5% 2.5%
$73,549 ปริมาณ
$73,549 ปริมาณ
Jan 28, 2027
<0.5%
$8,156 ปริมาณ
1%
0.5–1.0%
$17,766 ปริมาณ
1%
1.0–1.5%
$4,424 ปริมาณ
2%
1.5–2.0%
$8,749 ปริมาณ
12%
2.0–2.5%
$15,407 ปริมาณ
63%
>2.5%
$19,048 ปริมาณ
25%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent FOMC projections and private forecasts place 2026 real GDP growth near 2.2 percent on an annual-average basis, with the median SEP estimate revised upward to 2.3 percent in September. This consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the 2.0–2.5 percent band. Solid consumer spending, AI-related capital investment, and productivity gains have offset higher interest rates and geopolitical pressures, keeping activity near potential despite Q2 growth printing at a modest 1.5 percent annualized rate. Sticky inflation has prompted the Fed to maintain a restrictive stance, limiting upside to growth while supporting the view that outcomes will cluster around the economy's long-run trend rather than materially exceed or fall short of it.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,549วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent FOMC projections and private forecasts place 2026 real GDP growth near 2.2 percent on an annual-average basis, with the median SEP estimate revised upward to 2.3 percent in September. This consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the 2.0–2.5 percent band. Solid consumer spending, AI-related capital investment, and productivity gains have offset higher interest rates and geopolitical pressures, keeping activity near potential despite Q2 growth printing at a modest 1.5 percent annualized rate. Sticky inflation has prompted the Fed to maintain a restrictive stance, limiting upside to growth while supporting the view that outcomes will cluster around the economy's long-run trend rather than materially exceed or fall short of it.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,549วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Recent FOMC projections and private forecasts place 2026 real GDP growth near 2.2 percent on an annual-average basis, with the median SEP estimate revised upward to 2.3 percent in September. This consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the 2.0–2.5 percent band. Solid consumer spending, AI-related capital investment, and productivity gains have offset higher interest rates and geopolitical pressures, keeping activity near potential despite Q2 growth printing at a modest 1.5 percent annualized rate. Sticky inflation has prompted the Fed to maintain a restrictive stance, limiting upside to growth while supporting the view that outcomes will cluster around the economy's long-run trend rather than materially exceed or fall short of it.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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