Anthropic’s recent launch of Claude Fable 5.1 on September 1 has positioned it atop multiple independent leaderboards, including BenchAlign and several coding and reasoning benchmarks, driving the 86.5% market-implied odds that the company will hold the top large language model by end of September. The model’s strong performance on Terminal-Bench and agentic tasks has widened its lead over OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, released days later and currently trailing slightly in supported evaluations. With no comparable frontier releases scheduled from Google, Meta, or other labs before month-end, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of shifting the ranking. The “Style Control On” condition further narrows focus to demonstrated capabilities rather than marketing claims, reinforcing the current consensus backed by real-money positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №1 в конце сентября? (Управление стилем включено)
Какая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №1 в конце сентября? (Управление стилем включено)
Anthropic 87%
OpenAI 8.5%
Meta 3.9%
Google 1.8%
$97,473 Объем
$97,473 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Anthropic
87%
OpenAI
9%
Meta
4%
2%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 87%
OpenAI 8.5%
Meta 3.9%
Google 1.8%
$97,473 Объем
$97,473 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$42,008 Объем
87%
OpenAI
$11,870 Объем
9%
Meta
$10,028 Объем
4%
$5,906 Объем
2%
SpaceXAI
$2,852 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$3,372 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$3,229 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$3,956 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$769 Объем
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,250 Объем
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,431 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$436 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$436 Объем
<1%
Thinky
$1,313 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$930 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$1,554 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$436 Объем
<1%
Nvidia
$920 Объем
<1%
Tencent
$2,658 Объем
<1%
StepFun
$1,360 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$762 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s recent launch of Claude Fable 5.1 on September 1 has positioned it atop multiple independent leaderboards, including BenchAlign and several coding and reasoning benchmarks, driving the 86.5% market-implied odds that the company will hold the top large language model by end of September. The model’s strong performance on Terminal-Bench and agentic tasks has widened its lead over OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, released days later and currently trailing slightly in supported evaluations. With no comparable frontier releases scheduled from Google, Meta, or other labs before month-end, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of shifting the ranking. The “Style Control On” condition further narrows focus to demonstrated capabilities rather than marketing claims, reinforcing the current consensus backed by real-money positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Объем
$97,473Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overallКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s recent launch of Claude Fable 5.1 on September 1 has positioned it atop multiple independent leaderboards, including BenchAlign and several coding and reasoning benchmarks, driving the 86.5% market-implied odds that the company will hold the top large language model by end of September. The model’s strong performance on Terminal-Bench and agentic tasks has widened its lead over OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, released days later and currently trailing slightly in supported evaluations. With no comparable frontier releases scheduled from Google, Meta, or other labs before month-end, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of shifting the ranking. The “Style Control On” condition further narrows focus to demonstrated capabilities rather than marketing claims, reinforcing the current consensus backed by real-money positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$97,473Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overallКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s recent launch of Claude Fable 5.1 on September 1 has positioned it atop multiple independent leaderboards, including BenchAlign and several coding and reasoning benchmarks, driving the 86.5% market-implied odds that the company will hold the top large language model by end of September. The model’s strong performance on Terminal-Bench and agentic tasks has widened its lead over OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, released days later and currently trailing slightly in supported evaluations. With no comparable frontier releases scheduled from Google, Meta, or other labs before month-end, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of shifting the ranking. The “Style Control On” condition further narrows focus to demonstrated capabilities rather than marketing claims, reinforcing the current consensus backed by real-money positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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