Meta's accelerated release cadence for Muse Spark models drives current trader sentiment on the timing of a 1.4+ version. Following the April 2026 debut, Meta Superintelligence Labs shipped 1.1 in July, 1.2 in early August, and 1.3 on September 2, 2026, with each iteration delivering measurable gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding benchmarks like DeepSWE, and efficiency through reduced tool calls. CEO Mark Zuckerberg highlighted “frontier performance almost too cheap to meter” alongside promises of bigger models and open-weights releases, positioning the family against Anthropic and OpenAI offerings via the Meta Model API and Muse Code. The September 10, 2026, roadmap explicitly flags additional major updates, supporting market-implied odds that favor a near-term 1.4+ arrival before October while acknowledging typical AI development slippage risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующая Muse Spark (1.4+) выпущена...?
Следующая Muse Spark (1.4+) выпущена...?
$10,708 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
24%
31 октября
70%
$10,708 Объем
30 сентября
$6,166 Объем
24%
31 октября
$4,542 Объем
70%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's accelerated release cadence for Muse Spark models drives current trader sentiment on the timing of a 1.4+ version. Following the April 2026 debut, Meta Superintelligence Labs shipped 1.1 in July, 1.2 in early August, and 1.3 on September 2, 2026, with each iteration delivering measurable gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding benchmarks like DeepSWE, and efficiency through reduced tool calls. CEO Mark Zuckerberg highlighted “frontier performance almost too cheap to meter” alongside promises of bigger models and open-weights releases, positioning the family against Anthropic and OpenAI offerings via the Meta Model API and Muse Code. The September 10, 2026, roadmap explicitly flags additional major updates, supporting market-implied odds that favor a near-term 1.4+ arrival before October while acknowledging typical AI development slippage risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Объем
$10,708Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's accelerated release cadence for Muse Spark models drives current trader sentiment on the timing of a 1.4+ version. Following the April 2026 debut, Meta Superintelligence Labs shipped 1.1 in July, 1.2 in early August, and 1.3 on September 2, 2026, with each iteration delivering measurable gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding benchmarks like DeepSWE, and efficiency through reduced tool calls. CEO Mark Zuckerberg highlighted “frontier performance almost too cheap to meter” alongside promises of bigger models and open-weights releases, positioning the family against Anthropic and OpenAI offerings via the Meta Model API and Muse Code. The September 10, 2026, roadmap explicitly flags additional major updates, supporting market-implied odds that favor a near-term 1.4+ arrival before October while acknowledging typical AI development slippage risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$10,708Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Meta's accelerated release cadence for Muse Spark models drives current trader sentiment on the timing of a 1.4+ version. Following the April 2026 debut, Meta Superintelligence Labs shipped 1.1 in July, 1.2 in early August, and 1.3 on September 2, 2026, with each iteration delivering measurable gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding benchmarks like DeepSWE, and efficiency through reduced tool calls. CEO Mark Zuckerberg highlighted “frontier performance almost too cheap to meter” alongside promises of bigger models and open-weights releases, positioning the family against Anthropic and OpenAI offerings via the Meta Model API and Muse Code. The September 10, 2026, roadmap explicitly flags additional major updates, supporting market-implied odds that favor a near-term 1.4+ arrival before October while acknowledging typical AI development slippage risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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