Incumbent Morgan Griffith holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 9th congressional district due to its strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit partisan voting indexes and prior election margins exceeding 40 points. Griffith, first elected in 2011, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary while Democratic nominee Joy Powers emerged from her August primary with a modest fundraising total under $100,000 compared to Griffith’s multimillion-dollar war chest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the low odds for an upset. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-09
$66,379 Объем
$66,379 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Морган Гриффит (Р)
96%
Джой Пауэрс (Д)
2%
$66,379 Объем
$66,379 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Морган Гриффит (Р)
$44,841 Объем
96%
Джой Пауэрс (Д)
$21,537 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Morgan Griffith holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 9th congressional district due to its strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit partisan voting indexes and prior election margins exceeding 40 points. Griffith, first elected in 2011, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary while Democratic nominee Joy Powers emerged from her August primary with a modest fundraising total under $100,000 compared to Griffith’s multimillion-dollar war chest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the low odds for an upset. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$66,379Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Morgan Griffith holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 9th congressional district due to its strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit partisan voting indexes and prior election margins exceeding 40 points. Griffith, first elected in 2011, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary while Democratic nominee Joy Powers emerged from her August primary with a modest fundraising total under $100,000 compared to Griffith’s multimillion-dollar war chest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the low odds for an upset. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$66,379Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Morgan Griffith holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 9th congressional district due to its strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit partisan voting indexes and prior election margins exceeding 40 points. Griffith, first elected in 2011, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary while Democratic nominee Joy Powers emerged from her August primary with a modest fundraising total under $100,000 compared to Griffith’s multimillion-dollar war chest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the low odds for an upset. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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