Mark Teixeira holds a commanding lead in the TX-21 House race as the Republican nominee for the open seat vacated by Chip Roy. The district's solidly Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and Donald Trump's 11.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability. Teixeira secured the nomination with over 60% in the March primary, backed by Trump and other party figures, while raising over $3.6 million compared to Kristin Hook's roughly $154,000. Hook advanced from a less competitive Democratic primary. With roughly seven weeks until the November 3 general election, the outcome remains subject to shifts from major late developments such as scandals, health events, or turnout surprises in this low-competition environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-21 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-21 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$64,170 Объем
$64,170 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Тейшейра (Р)
94%
Кристин Хук (Д)
6%
$64,170 Объем
$64,170 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Тейшейра (Р)
$34,104 Объем
94%
Кристин Хук (Д)
$30,065 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Teixeira holds a commanding lead in the TX-21 House race as the Republican nominee for the open seat vacated by Chip Roy. The district's solidly Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and Donald Trump's 11.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability. Teixeira secured the nomination with over 60% in the March primary, backed by Trump and other party figures, while raising over $3.6 million compared to Kristin Hook's roughly $154,000. Hook advanced from a less competitive Democratic primary. With roughly seven weeks until the November 3 general election, the outcome remains subject to shifts from major late developments such as scandals, health events, or turnout surprises in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$64,170Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Teixeira holds a commanding lead in the TX-21 House race as the Republican nominee for the open seat vacated by Chip Roy. The district's solidly Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and Donald Trump's 11.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability. Teixeira secured the nomination with over 60% in the March primary, backed by Trump and other party figures, while raising over $3.6 million compared to Kristin Hook's roughly $154,000. Hook advanced from a less competitive Democratic primary. With roughly seven weeks until the November 3 general election, the outcome remains subject to shifts from major late developments such as scandals, health events, or turnout surprises in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$64,170Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Teixeira holds a commanding lead in the TX-21 House race as the Republican nominee for the open seat vacated by Chip Roy. The district's solidly Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and Donald Trump's 11.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability. Teixeira secured the nomination with over 60% in the March primary, backed by Trump and other party figures, while raising over $3.6 million compared to Kristin Hook's roughly $154,000. Hook advanced from a less competitive Democratic primary. With roughly seven weeks until the November 3 general election, the outcome remains subject to shifts from major late developments such as scandals, health events, or turnout surprises in this low-competition environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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