Texas's 19th Congressional District has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 2024 presidential lean exceeding 50 points, which underpins trader consensus around Tom Sell's 94.5% implied probability. Sell secured the GOP nomination in a May 2026 runoff by 29 points after advancing from a crowded primary, drawing endorsements from House Republican leadership and business organizations while raising over $2 million. Kyle Rable, the unopposed Democratic nominee and local party official, trails sharply in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support in the sprawling rural and agricultural district. With the November 3 general election weeks away, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated turnout shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current resource disparities limit realistic paths for the challenger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-19 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-19 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$25,027 Объем
$25,027 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Том Селл (Р)
95%
Кайл Рейбл (Д)
5%
$25,027 Объем
$25,027 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Том Селл (Р)
$2,921 Объем
95%
Кайл Рейбл (Д)
$22,106 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th Congressional District has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 2024 presidential lean exceeding 50 points, which underpins trader consensus around Tom Sell's 94.5% implied probability. Sell secured the GOP nomination in a May 2026 runoff by 29 points after advancing from a crowded primary, drawing endorsements from House Republican leadership and business organizations while raising over $2 million. Kyle Rable, the unopposed Democratic nominee and local party official, trails sharply in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support in the sprawling rural and agricultural district. With the November 3 general election weeks away, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated turnout shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current resource disparities limit realistic paths for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$25,027Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th Congressional District has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 2024 presidential lean exceeding 50 points, which underpins trader consensus around Tom Sell's 94.5% implied probability. Sell secured the GOP nomination in a May 2026 runoff by 29 points after advancing from a crowded primary, drawing endorsements from House Republican leadership and business organizations while raising over $2 million. Kyle Rable, the unopposed Democratic nominee and local party official, trails sharply in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support in the sprawling rural and agricultural district. With the November 3 general election weeks away, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated turnout shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current resource disparities limit realistic paths for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$25,027Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 19th Congressional District has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 2024 presidential lean exceeding 50 points, which underpins trader consensus around Tom Sell's 94.5% implied probability. Sell secured the GOP nomination in a May 2026 runoff by 29 points after advancing from a crowded primary, drawing endorsements from House Republican leadership and business organizations while raising over $2 million. Kyle Rable, the unopposed Democratic nominee and local party official, trails sharply in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support in the sprawling rural and agricultural district. With the November 3 general election weeks away, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated turnout shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current resource disparities limit realistic paths for the challenger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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