The near-certain trader consensus against Donald Trump appearing on a new $250 bill before the end of 2026 reflects longstanding Treasury Department and Bureau of Engraving and Printing rules that bar living individuals from U.S. currency designs. Any addition of a new denomination or portrait change requires congressional legislation for appropriations, followed by multi-year design, security feature, and production reviews. With September underway, the compressed timeline leaves insufficient room for the necessary votes, agency approvals, and manufacturing shifts. Even an expedited executive action or posthumous designation would face procedural and legal hurdles unlikely to clear before December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено3% вероятность
$30,531 Объем
$30,531 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
3% вероятность
$30,531 Объем
$30,531 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The near-certain trader consensus against Donald Trump appearing on a new $250 bill before the end of 2026 reflects longstanding Treasury Department and Bureau of Engraving and Printing rules that bar living individuals from U.S. currency designs. Any addition of a new denomination or portrait change requires congressional legislation for appropriations, followed by multi-year design, security feature, and production reviews. With September underway, the compressed timeline leaves insufficient room for the necessary votes, agency approvals, and manufacturing shifts. Even an expedited executive action or posthumous designation would face procedural and legal hurdles unlikely to clear before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Объем
$30,531Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The near-certain trader consensus against Donald Trump appearing on a new $250 bill before the end of 2026 reflects longstanding Treasury Department and Bureau of Engraving and Printing rules that bar living individuals from U.S. currency designs. Any addition of a new denomination or portrait change requires congressional legislation for appropriations, followed by multi-year design, security feature, and production reviews. With September underway, the compressed timeline leaves insufficient room for the necessary votes, agency approvals, and manufacturing shifts. Even an expedited executive action or posthumous designation would face procedural and legal hurdles unlikely to clear before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$30,531Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The near-certain trader consensus against Donald Trump appearing on a new $250 bill before the end of 2026 reflects longstanding Treasury Department and Bureau of Engraving and Printing rules that bar living individuals from U.S. currency designs. Any addition of a new denomination or portrait change requires congressional legislation for appropriations, followed by multi-year design, security feature, and production reviews. With September underway, the compressed timeline leaves insufficient room for the necessary votes, agency approvals, and manufacturing shifts. Even an expedited executive action or posthumous designation would face procedural and legal hurdles unlikely to clear before December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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