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icon for Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо
Политика·выборы

Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо

icon for Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо
Политика·выборы

Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают Сенат 43%

Победа республиканцев 34%

Победа демократов 24%

Демократы выигрывают губернаторство, республиканцы — сенат 2.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают Сенат 43%

Победа республиканцев 34%

Победа демократов 24%

Демократы выигрывают губернаторство, республиканцы — сенат 2.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают Сенат

$2,462 Объем

43%

Победа республиканцев

$1,322 Объем

34%

Победа демократов

$1,180 Объем

24%

Демократы выигрывают губернаторство, республиканцы — сенат

$357 Объем

2%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico and the gubernatorial contest between incumbent Republican Greg Abbott and Democrat Gina Hinojosa remain highly competitive, with averages placing both within a few points of each other. Primary results that advanced these nominees, combined with shifting support among independents and Hispanic voters, have sustained volatility in head-to-head matchups. This environment produces balanced implied probabilities across party-control combinations, elevating the share assigned to split outcomes while capping any single sweep scenario. Upcoming debates, additional surveys, and turnout patterns in key regions could alter the current trader consensus before November.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$5,320
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico and the gubernatorial contest between incumbent Republican Greg Abbott and Democrat Gina Hinojosa remain highly competitive, with averages placing both within a few points of each other. Primary results that advanced these nominees, combined with shifting support among independents and Hispanic voters, have sustained volatility in head-to-head matchups. This environment produces balanced implied probabilities across party-control combinations, elevating the share assigned to split outcomes while capping any single sweep scenario. Upcoming debates, additional surveys, and turnout patterns in key regions could alter the current trader consensus before November.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$5,320
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Смогут ли демократы одержать победу на выборах в Сенат Миннесоты и на пост губернатора?

Смогут ли демократы одержать победу на выборах в Сенат Миннесоты и на пост губернатора?

92%
Да
icon for Сумеют ли демократы одержать убедительную победу на выборах в Сенат и губернаторы Аляски?

Сумеют ли демократы одержать убедительную победу на выборах в Сенат и губернаторы Аляски?

74%
Да
icon for Республиканцы победят на выборах в Сенат и на пост губернатора Канзаса?

Республиканцы победят на выборах в Сенат и на пост губернатора Канзаса?

64%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают Сенат» с 43%, за ним следует «Победа республиканцев» с 34%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 43¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 7, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо» — «Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают Сенат» с 43%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Победа республиканцев» с 34%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.