Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) persist into September 2026, with RSF drone strikes reported in Omdurman and Ad-Damazin alongside SAF counteroperations. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has rejected recent U.S.-backed truce proposals unless they require full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and demobilization under UN oversight. The Quintet group of envoys (African Union, IGAD, Arab League, EU, and UN) conducted direct consultations in Khartoum from September 8-10 to advance civilian-led talks, yet prior Quad roadmaps and humanitarian truce efforts have repeatedly collapsed without enforcement mechanisms. Prisoner exchanges occurred in June, but broader negotiations remain stalled amid arms embargo extensions and external supply concerns. These factors sustain uncertainty around near-term ceasefire prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПрекращение огня во время гражданской войны в Судане...?
Прекращение огня во время гражданской войны в Судане...?
$119,424 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря 2026 года
12%
$119,424 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
$14,886 Объем
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) persist into September 2026, with RSF drone strikes reported in Omdurman and Ad-Damazin alongside SAF counteroperations. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has rejected recent U.S.-backed truce proposals unless they require full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and demobilization under UN oversight. The Quintet group of envoys (African Union, IGAD, Arab League, EU, and UN) conducted direct consultations in Khartoum from September 8-10 to advance civilian-led talks, yet prior Quad roadmaps and humanitarian truce efforts have repeatedly collapsed without enforcement mechanisms. Prisoner exchanges occurred in June, but broader negotiations remain stalled amid arms embargo extensions and external supply concerns. These factors sustain uncertainty around near-term ceasefire prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Объем
$119,424Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) persist into September 2026, with RSF drone strikes reported in Omdurman and Ad-Damazin alongside SAF counteroperations. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has rejected recent U.S.-backed truce proposals unless they require full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and demobilization under UN oversight. The Quintet group of envoys (African Union, IGAD, Arab League, EU, and UN) conducted direct consultations in Khartoum from September 8-10 to advance civilian-led talks, yet prior Quad roadmaps and humanitarian truce efforts have repeatedly collapsed without enforcement mechanisms. Prisoner exchanges occurred in June, but broader negotiations remain stalled amid arms embargo extensions and external supply concerns. These factors sustain uncertainty around near-term ceasefire prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Объем
$119,424Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) persist into September 2026, with RSF drone strikes reported in Omdurman and Ad-Damazin alongside SAF counteroperations. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has rejected recent U.S.-backed truce proposals unless they require full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and demobilization under UN oversight. The Quintet group of envoys (African Union, IGAD, Arab League, EU, and UN) conducted direct consultations in Khartoum from September 8-10 to advance civilian-led talks, yet prior Quad roadmaps and humanitarian truce efforts have repeatedly collapsed without enforcement mechanisms. Prisoner exchanges occurred in June, but broader negotiations remain stalled amid arms embargo extensions and external supply concerns. These factors sustain uncertainty around near-term ceasefire prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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