Trader consensus on Strava’s IPO closing market cap remains tightly contested, with the 4B–5B range leading at 38 percent amid uncertainty over timing and monetization. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in early 2026 and missed the spring window, leaving its May 2025 private valuation of $2.2 billion (including debt) as the clearest benchmark. Preparatory moves such as adding experienced board members and restricting API access signal readiness, yet limited public data on paying subscribers from its roughly 180 million user base and broader consumer-health IPO sentiment keep probabilities clustered across the 2B–5B bands. Any public filing, revenue disclosure, or shift in market multiples for fitness platforms could quickly separate the leading outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКапитализация закрытия IPO Strava
Капитализация закрытия IPO Strava
2–3 млрд 30%
$10–15 млрд 5.8%
5–7 млрд 5.1%
15 млрд+ 4.0%
$91,226 Объем
$91,226 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<2 млрд
8%
2–3 млрд
30%
3–4 млрд
17%
$4–5 млрд
38%
5–7 млрд
5%
7–10 млрд
20%
$10–15 млрд
6%
15 млрд+
4%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
7%
2–3 млрд 30%
$10–15 млрд 5.8%
5–7 млрд 5.1%
15 млрд+ 4.0%
$91,226 Объем
$91,226 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<2 млрд
$992 Объем
8%
2–3 млрд
$54,580 Объем
30%
3–4 млрд
$27,886 Объем
17%
$4–5 млрд
$1,422 Объем
38%
5–7 млрд
$1,067 Объем
5%
7–10 млрд
$1,249 Объем
20%
$10–15 млрд
$1,776 Объем
6%
15 млрд+
$1,464 Объем
4%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
$789 Объем
7%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Strava’s IPO closing market cap remains tightly contested, with the 4B–5B range leading at 38 percent amid uncertainty over timing and monetization. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in early 2026 and missed the spring window, leaving its May 2025 private valuation of $2.2 billion (including debt) as the clearest benchmark. Preparatory moves such as adding experienced board members and restricting API access signal readiness, yet limited public data on paying subscribers from its roughly 180 million user base and broader consumer-health IPO sentiment keep probabilities clustered across the 2B–5B bands. Any public filing, revenue disclosure, or shift in market multiples for fitness platforms could quickly separate the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Объем
$91,226Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Strava’s IPO closing market cap remains tightly contested, with the 4B–5B range leading at 38 percent amid uncertainty over timing and monetization. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in early 2026 and missed the spring window, leaving its May 2025 private valuation of $2.2 billion (including debt) as the clearest benchmark. Preparatory moves such as adding experienced board members and restricting API access signal readiness, yet limited public data on paying subscribers from its roughly 180 million user base and broader consumer-health IPO sentiment keep probabilities clustered across the 2B–5B bands. Any public filing, revenue disclosure, or shift in market multiples for fitness platforms could quickly separate the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$91,226Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Strava’s IPO closing market cap remains tightly contested, with the 4B–5B range leading at 38 percent amid uncertainty over timing and monetization. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in early 2026 and missed the spring window, leaving its May 2025 private valuation of $2.2 billion (including debt) as the clearest benchmark. Preparatory moves such as adding experienced board members and restricting API access signal readiness, yet limited public data on paying subscribers from its roughly 180 million user base and broader consumer-health IPO sentiment keep probabilities clustered across the 2B–5B bands. Any public filing, revenue disclosure, or shift in market multiples for fitness platforms could quickly separate the leading outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы