Anthropic holds a strong 77.7% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end-September because OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra overtook Claude Fable 5.1 by 35 points in early September community votes, reflecting superior multi-step web-app construction and tool use. Anthropic’s recent Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases remain competitive on related benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench Verified, supporting trader consensus that it trails only OpenAI among frontier labs. Lower odds for OpenAI at second (18.9%) and minimal shares for Moonshot, Alibaba, and others underscore the narrow gap between the top two while highlighting limited recent gains from competitors in live Code Arena evaluations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВторой лучший Code Arena WebDev AI Lab в конце сентября?
Второй лучший Code Arena WebDev AI Lab в конце сентября?
Anthropic 78.1%
OpenAI 18.0%
Alibaba 2.6%
Moonshot 2.4%
$68,735 Объем
$68,735 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Anthropic
78%
OpenAI
18%
Alibaba
3%
Moonshot
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
Tencent
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 78.1%
OpenAI 18.0%
Alibaba 2.6%
Moonshot 2.4%
$68,735 Объем
$68,735 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$13,593 Объем
78%
OpenAI
$7,977 Объем
18%
Alibaba
$16,925 Объем
3%
Moonshot
$12,101 Объем
2%
SpaceXAI
$2,291 Объем
1%
Tencent
$1,731 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$1,852 Объем
<1%
Meta
$1,699 Объем
<1%
$1,642 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$3,054 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$598 Объем
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,468 Объем
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,022 Объем
<1%
Thinky
$617 Объем
<1%
Poolside
$1,035 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$1,130 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a strong 77.7% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end-September because OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra overtook Claude Fable 5.1 by 35 points in early September community votes, reflecting superior multi-step web-app construction and tool use. Anthropic’s recent Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases remain competitive on related benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench Verified, supporting trader consensus that it trails only OpenAI among frontier labs. Lower odds for OpenAI at second (18.9%) and minimal shares for Moonshot, Alibaba, and others underscore the narrow gap between the top two while highlighting limited recent gains from competitors in live Code Arena evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
Объем
$68,735Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a strong 77.7% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end-September because OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra overtook Claude Fable 5.1 by 35 points in early September community votes, reflecting superior multi-step web-app construction and tool use. Anthropic’s recent Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases remain competitive on related benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench Verified, supporting trader consensus that it trails only OpenAI among frontier labs. Lower odds for OpenAI at second (18.9%) and minimal shares for Moonshot, Alibaba, and others underscore the narrow gap between the top two while highlighting limited recent gains from competitors in live Code Arena evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$68,735Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a strong 77.7% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end-September because OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra overtook Claude Fable 5.1 by 35 points in early September community votes, reflecting superior multi-step web-app construction and tool use. Anthropic’s recent Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases remain competitive on related benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench Verified, supporting trader consensus that it trails only OpenAI among frontier labs. Lower odds for OpenAI at second (18.9%) and minimal shares for Moonshot, Alibaba, and others underscore the narrow gap between the top two while highlighting limited recent gains from competitors in live Code Arena evaluations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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