Anthropic’s early September launch of Claude Fable 5.1, which posted the highest WebDev Arena Elo scores around 1762–1765 and widened the gap over rivals on agentic coding tasks, underpins its 61.6% market-implied odds for second place by end of October. The model’s 1M-token context, improved cache efficiency, and strong SWE-bench Verified results reflect sustained gains in long-horizon web development and computer-use benchmarks that traders view as durable through the resolution window. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra release days later narrowed some gaps but trails on current leaderboards, while Google, Meta, and Chinese labs trail further behind in verified agentic performance. Key near-term catalysts include any additional October model drops or benchmark updates that could shift relative rankings before the market settles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВторой лучший Code Arena WebDev AI Lab в конце октября?
Второй лучший Code Arena WebDev AI Lab в конце октября?
Anthropic 61.6%
OpenAI 21%
SpaceXAI 5.2%
Alibaba 5%
$19,355 Объем
$19,355 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
62%
OpenAI
21%
SpaceXAI
5%
Alibaba
5%
DeepSeek
3%
Moonshot
2%
Z.ai
2%
2%
Poolside
1%
Meta
1%
ByteDance
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Mistral
1%
Thinky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Anthropic 61.6%
OpenAI 21%
SpaceXAI 5.2%
Alibaba 5%
$19,355 Объем
$19,355 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$3,144 Объем
62%
OpenAI
$1,405 Объем
21%
SpaceXAI
$626 Объем
5%
Alibaba
$1,846 Объем
5%
DeepSeek
$672 Объем
3%
Moonshot
$4,931 Объем
2%
Z.ai
$645 Объем
2%
$669 Объем
2%
Poolside
$969 Объем
1%
Meta
$787 Объем
1%
ByteDance
$660 Объем
1%
Xiaomi
$409 Объем
1%
Mistral
$794 Объем
1%
Thinky
$656 Объем
<1%
Tencent
$613 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$529 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s early September launch of Claude Fable 5.1, which posted the highest WebDev Arena Elo scores around 1762–1765 and widened the gap over rivals on agentic coding tasks, underpins its 61.6% market-implied odds for second place by end of October. The model’s 1M-token context, improved cache efficiency, and strong SWE-bench Verified results reflect sustained gains in long-horizon web development and computer-use benchmarks that traders view as durable through the resolution window. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra release days later narrowed some gaps but trails on current leaderboards, while Google, Meta, and Chinese labs trail further behind in verified agentic performance. Key near-term catalysts include any additional October model drops or benchmark updates that could shift relative rankings before the market settles.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Объем
$19,355Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s early September launch of Claude Fable 5.1, which posted the highest WebDev Arena Elo scores around 1762–1765 and widened the gap over rivals on agentic coding tasks, underpins its 61.6% market-implied odds for second place by end of October. The model’s 1M-token context, improved cache efficiency, and strong SWE-bench Verified results reflect sustained gains in long-horizon web development and computer-use benchmarks that traders view as durable through the resolution window. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra release days later narrowed some gaps but trails on current leaderboards, while Google, Meta, and Chinese labs trail further behind in verified agentic performance. Key near-term catalysts include any additional October model drops or benchmark updates that could shift relative rankings before the market settles.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$19,355Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s early September launch of Claude Fable 5.1, which posted the highest WebDev Arena Elo scores around 1762–1765 and widened the gap over rivals on agentic coding tasks, underpins its 61.6% market-implied odds for second place by end of October. The model’s 1M-token context, improved cache efficiency, and strong SWE-bench Verified results reflect sustained gains in long-horizon web development and computer-use benchmarks that traders view as durable through the resolution window. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra release days later narrowed some gaps but trails on current leaderboards, while Google, Meta, and Chinese labs trail further behind in verified agentic performance. Key near-term catalysts include any additional October model drops or benchmark updates that could shift relative rankings before the market settles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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