Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler maintains a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 14th congressional district race, reflecting the district’s R+17 Partisan Voter Index and his 66.6% margin in the 2024 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primaries, with Reschenthaler securing strong fundraising totals exceeding $3.6 million compared to Democrat Alan Bradstock’s roughly $130,000–$200,000. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have consistently rated the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent competitive polling or major campaign developments that would alter the outlook. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift or candidate-specific events could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition and incumbency edge make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоPA-14 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
PA-14 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$25,495 Объем
$25,495 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Гай Резенталер (Р)
95%
Алан Брэдсток (Д)
6%
$25,495 Объем
$25,495 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Гай Резенталер (Р)
$12,427 Объем
95%
Алан Брэдсток (Д)
$13,069 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler maintains a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 14th congressional district race, reflecting the district’s R+17 Partisan Voter Index and his 66.6% margin in the 2024 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primaries, with Reschenthaler securing strong fundraising totals exceeding $3.6 million compared to Democrat Alan Bradstock’s roughly $130,000–$200,000. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have consistently rated the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent competitive polling or major campaign developments that would alter the outlook. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift or candidate-specific events could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition and incumbency edge make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$25,495Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler maintains a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 14th congressional district race, reflecting the district’s R+17 Partisan Voter Index and his 66.6% margin in the 2024 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primaries, with Reschenthaler securing strong fundraising totals exceeding $3.6 million compared to Democrat Alan Bradstock’s roughly $130,000–$200,000. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have consistently rated the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent competitive polling or major campaign developments that would alter the outlook. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift or candidate-specific events could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition and incumbency edge make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$25,495Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler maintains a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 14th congressional district race, reflecting the district’s R+17 Partisan Voter Index and his 66.6% margin in the 2024 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primaries, with Reschenthaler securing strong fundraising totals exceeding $3.6 million compared to Democrat Alan Bradstock’s roughly $130,000–$200,000. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have consistently rated the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent competitive polling or major campaign developments that would alter the outlook. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift or candidate-specific events could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition and incumbency edge make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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